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Live updates: Latest 2024 election news

Follow all of our news and analysis of the 2024 U.S. elections here

Salon · Nov 5, 2024

Top polling guru reveals final 2024 election prediction model – and it couldn’t be any closer

‘This is my fifth presidential election and there has never been anything like this,’ Nate Silver said

The Independent UK · Nov 5, 2024

The Inflation Election

Elections are decided by how people feel, and lots of Americans still feel pretty grumpy about how much it costs to go to the grocery store these days.

Reason · Nov 5, 2024

Iowa shows Trump underestimated women

“If Trump had ‘momentum’ in October, it has now petered out in November," says election forecaster Nate Silver

Salon · Nov 4, 2024

Top polling guru predicts race between Trump and Harris will be a ‘toss-up’

‘We will very likely go into Tuesday night with the race being truly a toss-up,’ Nate Silver writes

The Independent UK · Nov 4, 2024

It's Almost Over

Plus: New York's 17th district, Nevada's senate race, bootstrapping dating via the NYC marathon, and more...

Reason · Nov 4, 2024

US presidential election remains a toss-up, and a guide to US election day in Australia

The United States presidential election will be held Tuesday, with results coming in from Wednesday morning AEDT. I have a guide to Wednesday below that includes when polls in the key states close and other information.

The Conversation · Nov 4, 2024

Poll with oracle-like status delivers stunning warning for Trump and could signal Harris surge in Midwest

"It's hard for anybody to say they saw this coming. She has clearly leaped into a leading position."

Fortune · Nov 3, 2024

Trump aides confident in his chances – but admit results are anyone’s guess

Some polls offer promising outlook for Trump in swing states and reveal most believe US is on the wrong track

The Guardian - US · Nov 3, 2024

Harris grabs unexpected last-minute lead over Trump in Iowa poll

In shocking result that could reshape the race, ex-president falls three points behind in a state he won in 2016 and 2020

The Guardian - US · Nov 3, 2024