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The Latest Breaking News from Nate Silver

Who’s going to the ballot box this year? Here’s the election state of play

This article covers the March South Australian state election and November Victorian state election. The United States will hold midterm elections in November, giving Democrats an opportunity to take control of Congress.

The Conversation

Las Vegas’ struggling tourism industry posts another worrying stat during what should have been city’s busiest month of the year

‘I think it’s clear that value has been a concern on the part of some of our customers,’ Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority CEO Steve Hill said. ‘We’re aware of that. The resorts are aware of that.’

The Independent UK

It’s beginning to look a lot like … a traditional midterm election - Roll Call

In spite of President Donald Trump’s reputation as a political savant, 2026 is beginning to look a lot like a traditional midterm election.

Roll Call

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Trump’s ratings recover a little after slump; Australian Labor retains large poll leads

Donald Trump’s net approval is up a little after a slump to a term low on November 23, as Republicans hold a federal seat at a special election. In Australia, Labor continues to hold large leads in federal polls, but received just 8.3% at the Hinchinbrook Queensland state byelection.

The Conversation

Behind the Curtain: Republicans see dire 2026 warning signs in these 5 polls

Everywhere Republicans look, they see big political trouble.

Axios

Trump’s ratings slump as shutdown grinds on; Democrats have big wins in state elections

Donald Trump’s net approval has slumped to its lowest this term as the United States government shutdown breaks the record for the longest shutdown. Democrats had big wins in state elections on Tuesday.

The Conversation

Baseball's Solution to the Dodgers Isn't a Salary Cap

Plus: Teams in city-owned stadiums keep ending up in court, and Israeli soccer fans get banned from a match in England

Reason

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Coalition’s primary vote plunges to record low and One Nation surges to record high in Newspoll

The Coalition’s primary vote slumped four points to a record low 24% in the latest Newspoll, while One Nation was up four points to a record high 15%. One Nation also surged to 15% in an Essential poll.

The Conversation

The NBA's Integrity Problem Is a Cultural Issue—Regulating Sports Betting Won't Fix It

Plus: World Cup ticket prices and more government meddling in soccer

Reason

Trump demands a ban on ‘fake ads’ that show off his shrinking polling numbers

It was not immediately clear what advertisements Trump was speaking about

The Independent UK

'Fraudulent' Use of Reagan

Plus: Argentine election results, whether Zohran's running mostly on economic issues, and more...

Reason

Trump’s ratings steady as the US government shutdown drags into a second week

It’s been eight days since a partial US government shutdown began on October 1, owing to a failure by Congress to agree to a new budget by the September 30 deadline.

The Conversation

Trump’s approval ratings slide, with Americans angry over inflation and Jimmy Kimmel

US President Donald Trump’s net approval in analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of US national polls slid two points in the last week to -9.4, after his ratings had been stable since late July. Currently, 53.1% disapprove of his performance, compared to 43.7% who approve.

The Conversation

Trump underwater in four major categories as over half of Americans oppose his actions since January, new polling finds

Trump is dropping to near Biden-level lows — but don’t trust Democrats yet, polling suggests

The Independent UK

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The Conversation

Polling shows Donald Trump’s ratings are poor – but they could be worse

It’s nearly eight months since Trump’s second term as United States president began. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of US national polls, Trump’s net approval is currently -7.4, with 51.6% disapproving and 44.2% approving.

Reason

A Bad Jobs Report

Plus: Eric Adams drop-out watch, DOJ investigates Lisa Cook, critiquing Blueskyism, and more...

The Independent UK

Elon Musk may not be the president, but he still has cards to play against Trump

ANALYSIS: In his feud with Donald Trump, the world’s richest person has the distinct disadvantage of not possessing nukes. But that doesn’t mean he has no cards to play, writes Io Dodds

Reason

"The Crisis of the Media Environment"

My essay on the subject, initially presented in late March at a conference at Yale Law School, is now up… The post "The Crisis of the Media Environment" appeared first on Reason.com.

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Reason

"Listen, the Media Deserves Some Blame, Too": "You Guys Should Not Have Believed Us So Easily"

From Mediaite (Zachary Leeman) yesterday: "Original Sin" co-author Alex Thompson revealed a Democratic insider told him they were "amazed" at… The post "Listen, the Media Deserves Some Blame, Too": "You Guys Should Not Have Believed Us So Easily" appeared first on Reason.com.

International Business Times

Musk's $2 Trillion Promise Falls Short: DOGE Delivers Just 7.5% Of Target Savings

DOGE's $150B savings fall short of Musk's $2T promise, sparking theories of profit-driven motives. From SpaceX gains to data grabs, what's behind the cuts?

International Business Times UK

Musk's £1.56 Trillion Promise Falls Short: DOGE Delivers Just 7.5% Of Target Savings

DOGE's £117B savings fall short of Musk's £1.56T promise, sparking theories of profit-driven motives. From SpaceX gains to data grabs, what's behind the cuts?

The Independent UK

Kentucky auditor announces investigation of the state's medical cannabis program

Kentucky’s auditor says her office will investigate the state’s medical cannabis program

The Independent UK

In his words: Shapiro recounts evacuating arson fire in pajamas at Pennsylvania governor's residence

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro is sharing new details about the arson fire this weekend that prompted his family to evacuate the official residence in Harrisburg in the dead of night

The Independent UK

Alaska Native man who alleged wrongful conviction in murder case reaches $11.5M settlement

An Alaska Native man who maintained his innocence in the 1997 killing of a white teenager has agreed to an $11.5 million settlement with the city of Fairbanks

The Independent UK

Trump fumes to Fox News that he ‘can’t even go after’ January 6 investigators pardoned by Biden

‘Biden gave them all their freedom because they were dead,’ the president declared in an interview with Fox News’ Spanish-language show

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