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The Latest Breaking News from Nate Silver

Polls underestimated Trump support for third election in a row

Chance, demographics or even people reluctant to voice support for Trump could all be reasons for discrepancy

The Guardian - US

Bullish on DOGE

Plus: ICC goes after Netanyahu, Biden's questionable competence, Gaetz's sexcapades, and more...

Reason

Silver: Retire, Biden

The pollster thinks Kamala Harris should lead for the last few month's of the Biden presidency

Salon

From analysis to the latest developments in health,
read the most diverse news in one place.

Trump Rages After Dems Successfully Use Republican SpaceX Trip to Appoint Biden Judges: 'No More Judges'

Senate Democrats confirmed more of President Biden's judicial nominees, despite Trump's efforts to block new appointments before January.

Latin Times

Pollster Nate Silver Calls On Biden To Resign Immediately, Let Harris Serve As President: 'It's A Very Difficult Job'

Pollster Nate Silver has urged President Joe Biden to resign immediately and let Vice President Kamala Harris take over for the final weeks of his term.

International Business Times

Pollster Nate Silver Calls on Biden to Resign Immediately, Let Kamala Serve as President: 'It's a Very Difficult Job'

Pollster Nate Silver has urged President Joe Biden to resign immediately and let Vice President Kamala Harris take over for the final weeks of his term.

Latin Times

Concerns about Biden’s mental and physical acuity have plagued Biden’s campaigns and presidency

The Independent UK

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TechScape: Betting markets come for everything – and the FBI comes for a betting market

This week in tech news, online predictors are riding high after a slew of accurate US election wagers. Plus, Trump and Musk try to weaponize the communications regulator•

The Guardian - UK

Better but not stellar: Pollsters faced familiar complaints, difficulties in assessing Trump-Harris race

An oracle erred badly. The most impressive results were turned in by a little-known company in Brazil. A nagging problem reemerged, and some media critics turned profane in their assessments.

The Conversation

Nate Silver predicts Democratic comeback

Silver compared Trump's win to George Bush's victory in 2004, which was a turning point for the Democratic Party

Salon

Top Pollster Finds 'Hidden' Signs of a Comeback for Democrats Despite Republican Win, Predicts 'Challenging' Term for Trump

One of the only pollsters to predict the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election somewhat correctly, Nate Silver, has stated that he sees a variety of challenges lying ahead for President-elect Donald Trump, further predicting positive outcomes for the Democratic Party.

Latin Times

Blue-state governors are fighting back

Governors like Newsom, Pritzker and Whitmer won't roll over for the Trump agenda. Can states' rights save us?

Salon

Coalition retains narrow Newspoll lead as Dutton gains; where Democrats may have erred in US election

A national Newspoll, conducted November 4–8 from a sample of 1,261, gave the Coalition a 51–49 lead, unchanged since the previous Newspoll in early October. Primary votes were 40% Coalition (up two), 33% Labor (up two), 11% Greens (down one), 5% One Nation (down two) and 11% for all Others…

The Conversation

Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan says he founded the popular prediction market from his bathroom

“Little did I know Polymarket was going to change the world," the 26-year-old founder said of his makeshift setup.

Fortune

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Al Jazeera

US election results: How did opinion polls undercount Trump voters again?

It’s the third consecutive election in which opinion polls have underestimated Trump’s support.

The Conversation

Further US election analysis: Hispanics and young men swung big to Trump

Republican Donald Trump won the United States presidential election by 312 electoral votes to 226 for Democrat Kamala Harris. Trump carried the seven key states of Georgia (16 electoral votes), North Carolina (16), Arizona (11), Nevada (six), Wisconsin (ten), Michigan (15) and Pennsylvania (19).

The Independent UK

Ann Selzer explains why her very wrong Iowa poll may have helped Trump

Numerous prominent pre-election forecasts missed result as Trump swept to victory

The Independent UK

Battle of the pollsters: ‘Nostradamus’ bashes rival after both election predictions flopped

Across the board, pollsters failed to predict Trump would win by a comfortable margin

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Reason

Did Trump Run an Actually Good Campaign?

Plus: New Jersey the swing state, Dick Cheney isn't brat, and more...

Reason

The House Is Democrats' Best Chance To Check Trump's Executive Powers

With control of the House still undecided, a Democratic majority could serve as the strongest check on Trump's worst impulses.

The Guardian - US

US pollsters taking heat – again – for failing to predict Trump triumph

Polling experts called on to explain surveys that showed Trump and Harris deadlocked in a race deemed too close to call

Salon

In the end, Brian Williams held our hand

Election night cable news is designed to keep us on edge. William's low-key "experiment" eased our way into despair

Salon

Silver takes down model favoring Harris

The model projected Vice President Kamala Harris as the likely winner despite her falling behind in vote counts

Salon

Nate Silver's last forecast: Harris wins

Harris won the Electoral College in 50.015 percent of the 80,000 simulations run

Salon

Live updates: Latest 2024 election news

Follow all of our news and analysis of the 2024 U.S. elections here

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