The Latest Breaking News from FiveThirtyEight

‘It's a very somber scene in the building—people crying and upset,’ a network staffer said. ‘Lots of panicked phone calls between staffers trying to make sense of it’

The results of the 2024 presidential election cement a trend in American politics: Polls cannot accurately gauge support for Donald Trump. In the 2016, 2020 and now 2024 elections, polls consistently underestimated Trump’s support by an average of 2.3 percentage points.

Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin and Nevada hold the keys to the White House.

Harris and Trump spent the eve of Election Day campaigning across swing states in a final push for votes.

The United States presidential election will be held Tuesday, with results coming in from Wednesday morning AEDT. I have a guide to Wednesday below that includes when polls in the key states close and other information.

Democrats are running strong challengers in a handful of districts that could swing control of the House

Harris and Trump are locked in a dead heat, battling for control of Midwestern swing states.

The United States presidential election will be held next Tuesday, with results coming in Wednesday AEDT. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.6–47.5, a slight gain for Trump since Monday, when Harris led by 48.6–47.4. Harris’ national lead peaked on…

With just days to go until Election Day, Harris and Trump are locked in a tight race.