As the elections get closer by the day, the focus is set on the battleground states that will either help Kamala Harris or Donald Trump get to the White house. However, most poll averages show extremely tight races and all of them being decided by a small amount of votes.
Different survey aggregators consider most of them a toss up, with only two (Arizona and Georgia) with a difference higher than one percentage point. NPR's electoral map, for example, currently has Vice President Kamala Harris with 226 electoral votes compared to Donald Trump's 246, both still unable to get to the 270 need to get the White House.
The outlet indicates there are 66 votes completely up for grabs, while the 27 from Arizona and Georgia (11 and 16, respectively) would go to Trump. Should Harris make inroads there, she would only need to also win Pennsylvania, the largest swing state. With 19 electoral votes, it shows a small advantage for Harris.
The Democrat is ahead by 0.5 percentage points in NPR's aggregator, making the race a toss-up still. FiveThirtyEight's features a similar scenario, with the vice president leading with 48% of the support compared to Trump's 47.4%.
North Carolina, the next one in terms of electoral votes with 16, is currently going to Trump, although also by less than one percentage point. NPR has the Republican ahead by 0.85 percentage points, while FiveThirtyEight shows a 48.2%-47.3% advantage.
Michigan and its 15 electoral votes now show Trump ahead by 0.05 percentage points. And even though the race is a complete toss-up, with the candidates being practically tied, the trend favors Trump, considering it was leaning Democrat on August 26, the previous map update.
Harris still leads in Wisconsin, according to NPR's and FiveThirtyEight's averages: by 0.25 percentage points in the former and 0.6% in the latter. But same as in Michigan, her lead was wider a month and a half ago.
Lastly, Nevada: There, Harris is ahead by 0.35 points in NPR's average , 0.8 in FiveThirtyEight's (47.7% to 46.9%)
FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver highlighted that Trump's chances of winning have been growing over the past weeks, with both candidates now being practically tied in that area. The latest figures regarding their winning probability, he showed, are practically tied, with Harris holding 50.1% of the chances to Trump's 49.9%.
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