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The Latest Breaking News from RealClearPolitics

Democrats have the second-highest generic ballot lead in May of any midterm year

The Democratic Party led the generic congressional ballot by 7.6 points at the end of May, according to RealClearPolitics. Since the start of the second Trump Administration, the highest Democratic lead recorded by RCP was on May 28, 2026, when Democrats led Republicans 49% to 41%, an eight-point margin.

Ballotpedia

Donald Trump Heartbreak: POTUS' Disapproval Rating Just Hit 63%, Tying Richard Nixon's Watergate-Era Record

Donald Trump's disapproval rating has climbed to 63%, matching Richard Nixon's Watergate‑era level, as voters voice deepening economic anxiety. New polls show key groups drifting away from the president.

International Business Times UK

Will Donald Trump Resign Soon? James Carville Blasts 'Babbling Incoherent I****' POTUS In Savage Video

Veteran Democratic strategist James Carville says Donald Trump will quit if voters hand him a brutal midterm defeat, branding the president a 'babbling, incoherent idiot'.

International Business Times UK

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Donald Trump’s disapproval rating hits its highest mark ever amid Iran war and rising prices, polling group says

Trump’s disapproval rating is now higher than it was after the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, according to a polling group

The Independent UK

Fox News poll shows 57% of Americans disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president

Half of the respondents said that the cost-of-living was their top concern, although 67 percent said that they disapproved of President Trump’s handling of the issue

The Independent UK

Problems mount for Trump as first year back in White House comes to a close - Roll Call

President Trump is facing a growing list of problems as his first year back in office ends, from prices to possibly skyrocketing health care.

Roll Call

Polling in the age of Trump highlights flawed methods and filtered realities

The results of the 2024 presidential election cement a trend in American politics: Polls cannot accurately gauge support for Donald Trump. In the 2016, 2020 and now 2024 elections, polls consistently underestimated Trump’s support by an average of 2.3 percentage points.

The Conversation

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Better but not stellar: Pollsters faced familiar complaints, difficulties in assessing Trump-Harris race

An oracle erred badly. The most impressive results were turned in by a little-known company in Brazil. A nagging problem reemerged, and some media critics turned profane in their assessments.

The Conversation

Kamala Harris now leads in US polls but state-level data puts race on knife-edge

Analysis of 2024 polling and previous elections involving Donald Trump suggests race is still too close to call

The Guardian - UK

Trump creeps past Harris in new betting odds as election hits final stretch

Betting odds for Donald Trump surpassed Kamala Harris on Labor Day

The Independent UK

Heritage Foundation president delays release of new book after Project 2025 backlash

Kevin Roberts says he’s delaying book release until after election to ‘fight like hell to take back our country’

The Independent UK

Biden team eyes expanding map to Texas, Florida despite Trump leads

President Biden's reelection campaign is targeting not only key swing states, but also Trump strongholds like Florida and Texas.

Roll Call

Americans Unhappy With Politicians They'll Soon Vote Back Into Office

Congress and the leading presidential candidates are wildly unpopular. But don’t expect new faces.

Reason

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Jan. 23, 2024, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

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Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Jan. 17, 2024, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Jan. 9, 2024, former President Donald Trump (R) holds a lead in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Dec. 20, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Dec. 12, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

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news in one place.

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Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Dec. 6, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Nov. 28, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Nov. 14, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Nov. 7, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Zenger

Joe Biden, Donald Trump Lead Respective Presidential Primary Polling Averages And PredictIt Markets

As of Oct. 31, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Oct. 31, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

Ballotpedia

Joe Biden, Donald Trump lead respective presidential primary polling averages and PredictIt markets

As of Oct. 24, 2023, former President Donald Trump (R) leads in both RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) Republican presidential primary polling average and PredictIt’s Republican presidential primary market.

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