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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
Rhian Lubin

Top polling guru reveals final 2024 election prediction model – and it couldn’t be any closer

Polling guru Nate Silver has revealed his final prediction model for the 2024 presidential election – and has concluded the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is “literally closer than a coin flip.”

In Silver’s model, Harris won the Electoral College in 50.015 percent of the 80,000 simulations, giving her a razor-thin lead.

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