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The Latest Breaking News from Nate Silver

Nate Silver: Harris is now beating Trump

"We've seen momentum for Harris with her rising consistently to about a 2.5% lead in national polls," Silver said

Salon

Harris’ lead over Trump continues to increase in US national and swing state polls

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 46.8–43.7 with 3.9% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. In my previous US politics article on August 5, Harris led Trump by 45.5–44.1.

The Conversation

Nate Silver charts the course of risk-taking, from Sam Bankman-Fried to Sam Altman

For Nate Silver poker, Sam Bankman-Fried, and the future of AI are all connected by one thing—risk-taking.

Fortune

From analysis to the latest developments in health,
read the most diverse news in one place.

Nate Silver: How Likely Is a Kamala Harris Presidency?

Statistician Nate Silver will join Just Asking Questions at 12:30 p.m. ET this Thursday to talk about the state of the Democratic Party.

Reason

On the Edge by Nate Silver review – the art of risk-taking

From card sharps to crypto traders, a statistician asks what we can learn from the people prepared to gamble everything

The Guardian - UK

Polls show Kamala Harris moving ahead of Donald Trump in 2024 US election

Recent national head-to-head polls favor Harris, but polls in battleground states present a more mixed picture

The Guardian - US

Kamala Harris edges ahead of Donald Trump in national polls for US election

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. Election analyst Nate Silver’s national poll aggregate has Democratic nominee and current vice president Kamala Harris leading Republican nominee and former president Donald Trump by 45.5–44.1%, with 5.0% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

The Conversation

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Who is Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan? The 26-year-old’s crypto betting site is taking U.S. politics by storm

Polymarket has hired polling superstar Nate Silver and is now a must-read for politicos. But who is behind it, and what are its business plans?

Fortune

Nate Silver's Election Model Predicts Harris As Modest Underdog

Statistician Nate Silver predicts Kamala Harris as popular vote favorite but Electoral College underdog against Trump.

Top News

Exploring The Best Political Podcasts For Informed Citizens

Explore a curated list of popular political podcasts offering diverse perspectives and in-depth analysis.

Latin Times

Biden set to Launch Wide-Ranging Push to Win Over Latinos as Polls Show Declining Support

The program, called "Latinos con Biden-Harris," comes as recent surveys have former president Donald Trump ahead with this key demographic

Reason

Nate Silver: Libertarians Are the Real Liberals

"People are not in politics for truth-seeking reasons," argues the data journalist and author of On The Edge: The Art of Risking Everything.

Reason

The State of Our Biden Is Historically Frail

Who you gonna believe during Thursday's speech, the president's protectors or your lying eyes?

Reason

Losing the Home State

Plus: Adderall shortages, infrastructure lessons, Kanye West, and more...

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