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The Latest Breaking News from Nate Silver

Examination: Are the polls even reliable

After Biden's dismal debate against Trump, pundits turn to polls to learn America's future; what do they say?

Salon

Biden's Litany of Excuses

Plus: Illegal beach booze-selling, California's "tax apocalypse," and more...

Reason

Biden, Cognitive Decline, and the End of American Empire

Plus: The editors reflect on the release of WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange.

Reason

From analysis to the latest developments in health,
read the most diverse news in one place.

Nate Silver Predicts Trump Favored To Win White House

Nate Silver's forecast predicts Trump's advantage in the presidential race, with insights on Biden's chances and the Electoral College/popular vote dynamics.

Top News

Biden set to Launch Wide-Ranging Push to Win Over Latinos as Polls Show Declining Support

The program, called "Latinos con Biden-Harris," comes as recent surveys have former president Donald Trump ahead with this key demographic

Latin Times

Nate Silver: Libertarians Are the Real Liberals

"People are not in politics for truth-seeking reasons," argues the data journalist and author of On The Edge: The Art of Risking Everything.

Reason

The State of Our Biden Is Historically Frail

Who you gonna believe during Thursday's speech, the president's protectors or your lying eyes?

Reason

Losing the Home State

Plus: Adderall shortages, infrastructure lessons, Kanye West, and more...

Reason

U.S. Begins To Talk Ceasefire

Plus: Catholic funeral for transgender activist, Donald Trump's props, deep tech in El Segundo, and more...

Reason

Delinquent Countries

Plus: RFK Jr.'s Super Bowl ad, New York's war on Airbnbs, Biden's TikToks, and more...

Reason

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Reason

The Comeback Kid

Plus: Migrant drownings, cancer-ward Zionism, and more...

Salon

AP called Iowa before most people voted

Iowa voters saw alerts that Trump was projected to win before most of them even had a chance to cast ballot

Reason

Empire AI

Plus: Adult activists, Fani Willis' love life, Catholic crackdown, and more...

Salon

Nate Silver log-off and rest challenge

No, capitalism is not the pinnacle of evolution. (And other things we didn't think we'd have to explain.)

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Reason

Weapons for Christmas

Plus: Elon Musk's mom tells off the FCC, A24 tackles civil war, Nate Silver talks F.A. Hayek, and more...

Reason

Nate Silver on "Why Liberalism and Leftism Are Increasingly at Odds"

"The progressive coalition is splitting over Israel and identity politics."

Reason

Help Fight Disinformation About Disinformation: Donate to Reason

Your support makes some of the "riskiest" journalism on the internet possible.

The Guardian - US

Biden in spat with ex-Obama adviser who urged him to ‘get out or get going’

President reportedly called David Axelrod a ‘prick’ for criticising his re-election efforts

Reason

Abortion's Big Night

Plus: RFK Jr., Wichita's libertarian mayor, Hamas' death toll accuracy, the cult of Erewhon, and more...

Salon

MAGA revenge: Trump starts a big payback

The fact that people are saying Trump would be a better president than Biden is nothing more than a primal scream

Reason

Nate Silver's "Free Speech Is in Trouble"

An excellent article about a recent survey of college students, by a man who knows a thing or two about surveys. A couple of short excerpts, though you should read the whole thing: [A]fter seeing the latest polling on what college students think about free speech, I don't concern over…

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