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The Latest Breaking News from Nate Silver

Weapons for Christmas

Plus: Elon Musk's mom tells off the FCC, A24 tackles civil war, Nate Silver talks F.A. Hayek, and more...

Reason

Nate Silver on "Why Liberalism and Leftism Are Increasingly at Odds"

"The progressive coalition is splitting over Israel and identity politics."

Reason

Help Fight Disinformation About Disinformation: Donate to Reason

Your support makes some of the "riskiest" journalism on the internet possible.

Reason

From analysis to the latest developments in health,
read the most diverse news in one place.

Biden in spat with ex-Obama adviser who urged him to ‘get out or get going’

President reportedly called David Axelrod a ‘prick’ for criticising his re-election efforts

The Guardian - US

Abortion's Big Night

Plus: RFK Jr., Wichita's libertarian mayor, Hamas' death toll accuracy, the cult of Erewhon, and more...

Reason

MAGA revenge: Trump starts a big payback

The fact that people are saying Trump would be a better president than Biden is nothing more than a primal scream

Salon

Nate Silver's "Free Speech Is in Trouble"

An excellent article about a recent survey of college students, by a man who knows a thing or two about surveys. A couple of short excerpts, though you should read the whole thing: [A]fter seeing the latest polling on what college students think about free speech, I don't concern over…

Reason

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There are more of us than them

The people dying from COVID were voters

Salon

Fetterman dresses down critics of US Senate dress code reform

Pennsylvania senator known for wearing hoodies and shorts will now be able to do so to vote, angering rightwingers

The Guardian - US

Who’s Vivek Ramaswamy? He's the Trump 2.0 candidate who’s making waves in the Republican primaries

The New York Times described him as promising “to exert breathtaking power in ways that Donald Trump never did”. An article for Time magazine called him a “rockstar for those who think cancel culture is threatening every corner of American life”.

The Conversation

Musk vows to remove blocking function from X/Twitter as new logo debuted

Critics say removal of feature will allow harassment

The Independent UK

Polling wizard Nate Silver went from blogger to Disney-backed media mogul. Now he’s out, most of his staff are laid off—and he has some thoughts

The “witch” rocketed to fame when he called 99 out of 100 states’ election results in 2008 and 2012. But he has a warning for founders like himself.

Fortune

"Journalists Should Be Skeptical of All Sources—Including Scientists"

From Nate Silver: Here's the scandal. In March 2020, a group of scientists — in particular, Kristian G. Andersen the of The Scripps Research Institute, Andrew Rambaut of The University of Edinburgh, Edward C. Holmes of the University of Sydney, and Robert F. Garry of Tulane University — published a…

Reason

The digital media bubble has burst. Where does the industry go from here?

Buzzfeed, Vice, Gawker and Drudge Report are all traffic-war casualties, but they succeeded in shaking up the media landscape

The Guardian - US

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Al Jazeera

Vice Media cancels flagship show, announces ‘painful’ layoffs

Announcement comes after BuzzFeed last week said it was closing its news division.

Broadcasting & Cable

Bye Ho Silver: FiveThirtyEight Election Data Guru Gets Cut Amid Disney Layoffs

Site founder Nate Silver is out at ABC News

The Guardian - UK

Fan village setback does little to dent Cheltenham’s place as marquee event

The increased popularity of the Festival has boosted the local economy and led to greater scrutiny of horse racing

Chicago Tribune

Editorial: How an ideologically blinded media failed to take the COVID lab leak theory seriously

Citing a classified intelligence report provided to members of Congress, The Wall Street Journal reported Sunday that the Energy Department has now concluded with “low confidence” that the COVID-19 pandemic most likely began after an unintentional laboratory leak in China.

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news in one place.

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The Philadelphia Inquirer

Will Bunch: The NYT should tell readers whether it helped crooked FBI agents get Trump elected in 2016

It was arguably the most consequential "October Surprise" in the history of American presidential elections. In the waning days of the 2016 race, with polls showing Hillary Clinton clinging to a lead over Donald Trump, two last-minute stories broke that rekindled on-the-fence voters' ethical doubts about Democrat Clinton and quashed…

The Conversation

Some midterm polls were on-target – but finding which pollsters and poll aggregators to believe can be challenging

Pollsters indulged in breezy self-congratulation in the aftermath of the 2022 midterm elections. Pre-election polls, they declared, did well overall in signaling outcomes of high-profile U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races.

Chicago Sun-Times

Hope wafting in from Brazil

Defeat of election denying Jair Bolsonaro reminds us that madness comes ... and goes.

Reason

This Election Day, Listen to the Betting Market Instead of Pundit Predictions

Over time, betting has been a better predictor than polls, pundits, statistical models, and everything else.

The Conversation

Republicans gain in US midterm polls with three weeks until election

The United States midterm elections will be held in nearly three weeks, on November 8. All 435 House of Representatives seats are up for election, as well as 35 of the 100 senators. Democrats won the House by 222-213 in 2020, and hold the Senate on a 50-50 tie with…

Chicago Tribune

Commentary: Democrats’ midterm chances are better partly because of one person: Ruth Bader Ginsburg

What a difference six months make. Earlier this year, it was generally conceded that Republicans would sweep to victories in the midterm elections, giving them control of the House and Senate.

The Conversation

US Democrats' gains stall six weeks before midterm elections; UK Labour seizes huge lead after budget

The United States midterm elections will be held in six weeks, on November 8. All 435 House of Representatives seats are up for election, as well as 35 of the 100 senators. Democrats won the House by 222-213 in 2020, and hold the Senate on a 50-50 tie with Vice…

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