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The Latest Breaking News from Oxford Economics

Social Security and Medicare cuts are coming because the bond market will eventually bring Congress to its knees, economist says

"A sharp upward repricing of the term premium for longer-dated bonds could force Congress back into a reform mindset."

Fortune

Even a 1% mortgage rate drop could be enough to 'unlock' the frozen housing market, Oxford Economics says

A lower rate should be “enough of an incentive” for some homeowners to sell their homes and trade up, opening up inventory.

Fortune

Top 20% Drive America's Economy While 80% Grapple Inflation — Here's Why This Spells Trouble

America's consumer engine is leaning harder than ever on the rich, with new Moody's data showing the top 20% of earners now account for more than half of all spending while outlays by middle- and lower-income households flatline.

Benzinga

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China’s fertility crisis is so dire, rates are falling below ‘replacement levels,’ and GDP could slow by more than half in the next 30 years, study says

According to a new report from Oxford Economics, the potential output growth for China could fall from around 4% in the 2020s to less than 2% by the 2050s.

Fortune

Eurozone growth slows: Spain leads and Germany contracts

Eurozone GDP rose just 0.1% in the second quarter of 2025, down from 0.6% in Q1, as Germany and Italy slipped into contraction. Spain led growth at 0.7%, while France surprised with 0.3% growth.

Euronews

As Trump’s August 1 deadline looms, tariffs are here to stay, experts say

Trump’s protectionist moves likely to keep pushing countries to lessen their reliance on the US, analysts say.

Al Jazeera

US Fed Poised To Hold Off On Rate Cuts, Defying Trump Pressure

The US central bank is widely expected to hold off slashing interest rates again at its upcoming meeting, as officials gather under the cloud of an intensifying pressure campaign by President Donald Trump.

International Business Times

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Oxford Economics says the crumbling housing market will continue deteriorating because of two key factors

Home prices are 55% higher than they were at the beginning of 2020.

Fortune

Trump's Japan Trade Deal Just Triggered A 2008-Style Bond Market Earthquake

Japan's 10-year bond yields surged to 1.59% on Wednesday—levels not seen since 2008—as markets reeled from a new U.S. trade deal and political turmoil surrounding Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba.

Benzinga

Trump’s tariffs are tipping Europe toward recession

The U.S. is Europe and Britain’s largest export market. About 20% of EU exports go to the U.S. at a value of around $581 billion. Europe’s trade doesn’t immediately have anywhere else to go.

Fortune

This is the Best CD to Get Amid Rate Uncertainty

This CD helps you earn more than 4%, with quick access to your cash if you need it.

Kiplinger

There's a 'growing risk' Fed will have to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in December to 'catch up' to a sagging labor market, Oxford Economics

Interest rate cuts could mean the economy is in the clear after the spring’s recession fears—or the labor market suddenly collapsed.

Fortune

New grads are struggling to find jobs and they're being locked out of the labor market because of 3 key factors

"Entry-level roles are in short supply.”

Fortune

‘Save what we can’: Economic uncertainty, Trump rhetoric hits US travel

US travel industry has been hit by domestic consumers cutting back and foreigners snubbing country over Trump rhetoric.

Al Jazeera

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International Business Times

US Retail Sales Little Changed, Signs Of Pullback After Pre-tariff Rush

Retail sales in the United States were near-flat in April, government data showed Thursday, with indications that spending is slowing after consumers rushed to beat higher prices from President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs.

Fortune

Damn the torpedoes! Stocks go full speed ahead despite declining U.S. shipping and manufacturing data

Buying momentum continued in Asia and European stock markets today, and S&P futures were priced up this morning.

Fortune

A simple starter home now costs $1 million in half the states in the U.S., report reveals

The spring home-buying season is suppressed due to lower consumer confidence and affordability issues.

Fortune

Xi’s jaunt through Southeast Asia serves as ‘a reassurance and a warning’ to trading partners as the region gets pulled between the U.S. and China

On Monday, after Xi’s visit, Beijing warned countries against signing trade deals with the U.S. “at the expense of China’s interest.”

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news in one place.

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Fortune

Companies are making a costly $100 million mistake

FIS and Oxford Economics quantify the impact of disruptions and inefficiencies across the money lifecycle.

International Business Times

Trump's Global Tariff Takes Effect In Dramatic US Trade Shift

US President Donald Trump's widest-ranging tariffs to date took effect Saturday, in a move which could trigger retaliation and escalating trade tensions that could upset the global economy.

Fortune

Analysts unanimously denounce Trump’s liberation day tariffs: ‘Worse than the worst case’

Analysts at Wedbush Securities and Goldman Sachs as well as top economist Larry Summers predicted much economic pain ahead.

The Independent UK

Tiny landlocked country will be destroyed by Trump’s highest tariff, analyst warns

The kingdom is one of the world's poorest nations with a gross domestic product of just over $2 billion

International Business Times

Clock Ticks On Trump's Reciprocal Tariffs As Countries Seek Reprieve

The clock is ticking down to Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" when the US president has threatened to unleash a wide range of tariffs against countries running persistent trade imbalances with the United States.

Euronews

Lengthy trade wars could cut global investment by one-tenth, warn economists

Uncertainty around trade will have a major impact on global growth, reducing business investment in the EU and the UK by 2% this year, Oxford Economics finds.

International Business Times

US Fed Likely To Keep Rates Steady As Trump Uncertainty Flares

The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its policy meeting this week, treading carefully amid uncertainty over President Donald Trump's economic policies, which include spending cuts and sweeping tariffs.

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