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Fortune
Fortune
Tristan Bove

There's an oil price scenario that would bring the US economy to a 'standstill;

President Donald Trump at the White House (Credit: Heather Diehl/Getty Images)

The war in Iran has sparked a global energy crisis that has rocked markets and sent oil prices surging to their highest level in four years. The chances of a quick resolution appear to be deteriorating as the conflict escalates, as do hopes that the U.S. economy might escape unscathed.

The war has effectively blocked off the Strait of Hormuz, a vital energy corridor that links oil and gas producers in the Persian Gulf with the rest of the world. The closure has cut off the roughly 20 million barrels of oil that normally flow through the strait each day, according to the International Energy Agency. The IEA estimates the conflict is removing roughly eight million barrels daily from the global supply, making the crisis the biggest oil supply disruption in history. Oil prices have been on a rollercoaster as a result. Brent crude, an international benchmark that cost around $70 a barrel before the war, grazed $120 last week and has since settled between $90 and $100. 

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