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The Latest Breaking News from Oxford Economics

Bank of England Faces Pressure to Adjust Interest Rates as Inflation Forecasts Take a Surprise Turn

Three prominent forecasters – Oxford Economics, Investec, and Deutsche Bank – have issued updates indicating a potential halving of the inflation rate to two per cent by April, forcing the Bank of England (BoE) to reconsider its timeline for the first interest rate cut.

International Business Times UK

Bank of England Contemplates Earlier Interest Rate Cut Amidst Forecasts of Decreasing Inflation

Three prominent forecasters, including Oxford Economics consultancy, Investec, and Deutsche Bank, have revised their outlook for inflation in 2024.

International Business Times UK

Bank of England may cut interest rate sooner after surprise inflation forecast

Forecasters at three leading institutions suggest inflation rate will halve to 2% by April

The Guardian - UK

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Indonesia's decision to ban nickel ore exports was a surprising success for president Jokowi. Will it work for his successors?

Indonesia wants to leverage its massive nickel reserves to encourage investment in local EV and battery manufacturing. But that may be a tough hill to climb.

Fortune

Disney says it has $40 billion economic impact in Florida as it battles DeSantis in court

Disney has released a study showing its economic impact in Florida at $40.3 billion, directly and indirectly through its supply chain and employee spending

The Independent UK

Europes' largest economy falls further behind US in recession warning

The German economy declined 0.1% in the third quarter, with falling oil demand sounding the latest recession alarms.

Fortune

44 million Americans with student debt are bracing for a 'payment shock.' Many of them are filled with regret

Borrowers are feeling the financial strain.

Fortune

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The experience-hungry American consumer is already crashing the economy into a 'rolling recession,' Oxford Economics says

“Instead of a typical recession, it's possible the economy will fall into – or in fact is already in – a 'rolling' recession,” Oren Klachkin, lead U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, wrote Tuesday.

Fortune

Economic impact BAE Systems has on South West revealed in new report

The research has been conducted by Oxford Economics

Birmingham Post

UK interest rates forecast to jump above 5% this year after higher-than-expected inflation – as it happened

Rolling, live coverage of business, economics and financial markets as consumer price index inflation reaches 8.7%, well above forecasts

The Guardian - UK

5 key takeaways from the February US jobs report

The American job market has once again confounded expectations

The Independent UK

US Fed set to slow rate hikes

WASHINGTON: The US Federal Reserve started the second day of its policy meeting on Wednesday, on growing expectations that it will step down to a smaller interest rate hike as red-hot inflation shows signs of cooling.

Bangkok Post

Survey: The US economy has a 64% chance of entering a recession this year

More likely than not, the U.S. economy will enter a recession this year, Bankrate’s Fourth-Quarter Economic Indicator poll found.

Tribune News Service

US recession a growing fear as Fed plans to keep rates high

After scaling 40-year highs, inflation in the United States has been slowly easing since summer

The Independent UK

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Evening Standard

Tax-free shopping is a simple gift for growth

Not only is British spending moving to the EU, but global brands are also revising their capital investment plans as a result of the lack of tax-free shopping

Bangkok Post

Global goods trade forecast to shrink in 2023

The global goods trade will shrink next year in a downturn reminiscent of previous recessions, Oxford Economics said, in a worrying forecast for Asia’s export-dependent economies and beyond.

Reuters

China COVID cases rise, hard-hit Beijing tightens entry rules

China's capital warned on Monday that it was facing its most severe test of the COVID-19 pandemic, shutting businesses and schools in hard-hit districts and tightening rules for entering the city as infections ticked higher in Beijing and nationally.

Birmingham Post

Nine in 100 working in Exeter are employed at the University, new report shows

Report details how the the university creates employment, helps business through research and helps graduates get higher paid jobs

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The Independent UK

Kwarteng’s tax-slashing bonanza will add less than 0.1% to GDP, study warns

‘Growth plan’ which has triggered market mayhem dismissed as ‘all pain, little gain’

The Independent UK

Truss’s premiership ‘will be defined by response to cost-of-living crisis’

As Liz Truss grapples with the economic situation, planned measures may be postponed or cancelled, and others may be introduced, experts suggested.

Al Jazeera

As China’s property crisis grows, is the global economy at risk?

China’s house prices are falling as Beijing reins in sector, raising fears for economic growth at home and globally.

Los Angeles Times

Inflation slows a bit in July. Has it finally peaked?

WASHINGTON — After months of steadily climbing to a 40-year high, the pace of inflation slowed notably in July as gas prices fell sharply and Americans got some relief on the cost of clothing, cars and other necessities.

Asharq Al-Awsat

Oxford Economics Predicts Saudi Economy to Cross $1 Trln Mark in 2022

Oxford Economics has predicted that the Saudi economy will cross the trillion-dollar mark for the first time this year. The leader in global economic forecasting and econometric analysis pointed out that the growth rate of Saudi Arabia's national product will reach 7.5 % during 2022. The International Monetary Fund has…

The Independent UK

Bank of England’s dire recession warning too ‘optimistic’ amid gas threat, economists say

‘If Russia were to completely cut supplies and we had a cold winter it would be a perfect storm’

Al Jazeera

‘Localised’ recessions? China’s economy teeters amid lockdowns

Economists warn of negative economic growth in certain sectors and regions if ‘zero COVID’ policy continues.

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