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The Latest Breaking News from Sanjay Raja

Bank of England leaves interest rates on hold and lowers inflation forecast amid Middle East ‘uncertainty’ – as it happened

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news, including the latest UK jobs report and the Bank of England’s interest rate decision

The Guardian - UK

UK economy shrinks in April as the Iran war energy shock takes a toll

Britain's economy contracted by 0.1% in April, the first monthly fall since August 2025, as the conflict in the Middle East pushed up energy costs and prompted households to rein in their spending.

Euronews

UK economy expected to show signs of Iran war impact as fuel prices soar

UK’s economy grew better than expected before the breakout of the Iran war

The Independent UK

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UK economy set to show Iran war impact in April from surging fuel prices

Most economists forecast a 0.1% decline in output month-on-month – a marked reversal after the 0.3% growth seen in March.

Evening Standard

How will soaring fuel prices impact April’s GDP data?

ONS figures for April are set to show the beginnings of a squeeze on households after the conflict sent fuel prices surging.

Evening Standard

How soaring fuel prices will impact April’s GDP data

Forecasts anticipate a sharp pullback, largely attributed to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East impacting fuel prices

The Independent UK

UK inflation rate set to fall as lower household energy bills offset fuel surge

Most economists think the rate of Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation slowed to 3% in April, from 3.3% in March.

Evening Standard

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Cost of living crisis looms as Iran energy shock threatens UK inflation rebound

Experts caution that future turbulence is on the way despite UK inflation easing last month

The Independent UK

UK inflation rate set to fall as lower household energy bills offset fuel surge

Some economists think the rate of Consumer Prices Index inflation slowed to 3% in April, from 3.3% in March.

Evening Standard

‘There is a good deal of fear’: what would a Labour leadership challenge mean for bond markets?

Rayner and Burnham are trying to gain markets’ confidence amid concerns they could loosen fiscal rules if they replace Starmer

The Guardian - UK

Bond market power: why Rachel Reeves is keen to keep the £2.7tn ‘beast’ onside

Hugely influential traders will be hanging on the chancellor’s every word when she announces her budget

The Guardian - UK

October inflation expected to cool in boost to households and Government

Most economists think the rate of Consumer Prices Index inflation will have slowed to 3.5% in October, from 3.8% in September.

Evening Standard

AI, Covid and taxes: what is behind steep rise in youth unemployment?

Last year’s employer NICs increase and a weak economy are adding to tricky conditions for young people

The Guardian - UK

Price rises set to cool in reprieve for households after September peak

Most economists think the rate of Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation will have fallen in October.

Evening Standard

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Evening Standard

Economic growth predicted to have slowed in third quarter

Experts have predicted that the Office for National Statistics will report 0.2% growth over the three months to September.

Evening Standard

Higher airfares and hotel prices predicted to push up UK inflation in July

The rate of Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation is widely expected to have increased to 3.7% in July, from the 3.6% recorded in June.

Evening Standard

UK inflation to rise as summer spending pushes up hotels and airfares

One economist said an ‘Oasis bump’ could have contributed to higher accommodation prices in July.

Evening Standard

Stocks mixed despite GDP surprise amid hot US producer price inflation

The FTSE 100 index closed up 12.01 points at 9,177.24.

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The Independent UK

‘Naive and arrogant’: Why a wealth tax in the UK would fail, according to experts

The UK government needs to raise funds – but experts say trying to take more from the rich simply won’t work

Evening Standard

UK inflation set to cool as prices settle following April bill rises

The rate of Consumer Prices Index inflation is expected to have fallen to 3.3% in May, from 3.5% in April, according to a consensus of analysts.

Evening Standard

December inflation set to stay at 2.6% in ‘reprieve’ for UK economy

The rate of Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation is expected to have come in at 2.6% last month, unchanged from November.

Evening Standard

UK stock markets could get a ‘closer look’ in 2025 amid investment drive

The FTSE 100 hit a number of record highs in May after getting off to a strong start to the year.

The Independent UK

‘Cloudy’ economic outlook looms over Labour as 2024 draws to a close

Since winning the UK’s general election in July, Labour has faced sharp swings in the economic outlook and a shifting public mood.

Evening Standard

Why did the UK economy slow in the third quarter, and what does it mean?

The PA news agency looks at what fresh GDP figures mean for the wider UK economy, households and the Government.

The Guardian - UK

Signs of cooling UK jobs market could be a headache for Reeves

Labour market is in pretty good shape, but all eyes will be on impact of tax rises on employers

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