Workers’ share of America’s income is at a record low before the AI boom even begins EY-Parthenon chief economist Gregory Daco says that the economy’s surprising productivity gains so far predate AI. Fortune · Sep 4
The Fed is watching AI token prices. Here’s why CFOs should, too Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh flagged token prices as a window into AI's economics. Fortune · Aug 31
Inflation clouds Fed decision despite hold expectations The US Federal Reserve is expected to maintain current interest rates on Wednesday. Analysts anticipate some policymakers may dissent, advocating for a rate increase. Surging inflation, fueled by President Donald Trump's actions, is a significant concern for many. Policymakers worry about inflation expectations becoming unmoored from the two percent target.… The Economic Times · Jul 29
Trump can’t stop shooting himself in the foot, as the stage looks set once again for Warsh to hold—if not hike—interest rates “After months of upside inflation surprises, patience is wearing thin,” writes EY-Parthenon’s Gregory Daco. Fortune · Jul 27
US Federal Reserve expected to hold rates steady as inflation swirls The US Federal Reserve is set to hold its second meeting under new chairman Kevin Warsh starting Tuesday, with markets expecting policymakers to keep interest rates steady amid inflation concerns that could be exacerbated by US President Donald Trump's renewed war on Iran. Most investors expect the Fed to hold… The Economic Times · Jul 26
Fed officials fret over inflation risk, weigh rate hikes Federal Reserve officials remain concerned about persistent inflation pressures. Incoming price reports will guide future interest rate decisions by policymakers. A divided committee discussed scenarios for potential policy responses. Some officials favor holding rates steady while others see hikes as appropriate. The central bank awaits crucial economic data to shape… The Economic Times · Jul 11
'I Love the Inflation': Trump Defies Economic Experts as US Consumer Prices Record Dramatic Spike President Trump expressed enthusiasm for high inflation, linking it to covert oil seizures. His remarks have intensified political tensions and economic concerns during a challenging midterm election year. International Business Times UK · Jun 10
Trump once again pushes Powell to drop rates 'IMMEDIATELY,' but a zero-cut year looks increasingly likely "We have revised our baseline to show only one rate cut in 2026 ... but it is entirely plausible that the Fed won’t deliver any rate cuts this year." Fortune · Mar 13
How the Iran war and surging oil prices are affecting consumers at the gas pump and beyond As the price of crude oil surged, consumers were feeling the effects of the Iran war and its damage to worldwide energy production The Independent UK · Mar 9
Productivity gains fuel U.S. growth while hiring slows EY Chief Economist Gregory Daco says businesses are generating growth with fewer workers and rising efficiency. Fortune · Jan 12
'Two Different Worlds,' A Quarter Of U.S. Households Are Living Paycheck To Paycheck Study Finds Nearly one-quarter of U.S. households are living paycheck to paycheck, according to a study by the Bank of America Institute released last week. Benzinga · Nov 24, 2025
Gold’s record price is driven by the ‘debasement trade,’ China, and fear of an AI bubble, analysts say Gold surged past $4,000 an ounce, up 50% this year, driven by investor fears over government debt, a weaker dollar, a buying spree by China’s central bank, and concerns the AI stock boom may collapse. Fortune · Oct 8, 2025
CFOs must focus on agility in scenario planning amid government shutdown, says economist Planning for resilience has become a strategy for survival. Fortune · Oct 2, 2025
US Fed Set For First Rate Cut Of 2025 As Trump Pressure Looms The US Federal Reserve is poised to make its first interest rate cut of 2025 on Wednesday, but it battles competing forces in the path forward -- with heightened political pressure and likely divisions among its ranks. International Business Times · Sep 17, 2025
International Business Times · Sep 5, 2025 Cooling US Jobs Market In Focus As Political Scrutiny Heats Up US employment data on Friday is expected to confirm a cooled labor market, as companies pull back on hiring amid continued uncertainty over President Donald Trump's tariffs.
Fortune · Sep 3, 2025 Federal appeals court tariff ruling signals CFOs to 'plan for turbulence' The decision on tariffs introduces fresh uncertainty, says Gregory Daco, EY-Parthenon chief economist.
International Business Times · Jul 30, 2025 US Fed Set To Hold Firm Against Trump Pressure The US central bank is expected to defy political pressure and keep interest rates unchanged Wednesday at the end of a two-day policy meeting, as the effects of President Donald Trump's tariffs emerge.
International Business Times · Jul 30, 2025 US Second Quarter GDP Growth To Reflect Tariff Turbulence US economic growth is expected to rebound in the second quarter, analysts said, in a momentary comeback reflecting trade shifts as companies tried to avoid the harshest of President Donald Trump's wide-ranging tariffs.
International Business Times · Jul 6, 2025 'Into A Void': Young US College Graduates Face Employment Crisis Over two years, Rebecca Atkins filed more than 250 job applications, and felt like every one was going into a gaping chasm -- one opened by the highest unemployment rate for recent college graduates in the United States in more than a decade.
Fortune · Jun 25, 2025 The three issues keeping Fed Chair Jerome Powell up at night The Federal Reserve is currently taking a wait-and-see approach regarding interest rates.
Fortune · Jun 21, 2025 Fed governor breaks ranks and says rate cuts could resume next month to prevent further cracks in the job market “If you’re starting to worry about the downside risk to the labor market, move now, don’t wait,” Waller told CNBC.
International Business Times · Jun 15, 2025 US Fed Set To Hold Rates Steady In The Face Of Trump Pressure The US central bank is expected to keep interest rates unchanged for a fourth straight policy meeting this week, despite President Donald Trump's push for rate cuts, as officials contend with uncertainty sparked by the Republican's tariffs.
International Business Times · May 30, 2025 US April Inflation Cooled More Than Expected, Despite Tariffs The US Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure cooled more than expected last month, according to government data published Friday, as President Donald Trump's "liberation day" tariffs on most countries came into effect.
Fortune · May 8, 2025 CFOs need a new 'playbook' for tariff-fueled uncertainty The Fed's decision to hold rates steady underscores a critical reality for business leaders, according to economists.
Fortune · May 6, 2025 Investors worry about Fed independence as stocks rise in China and Japan Wall Street is almost certain that the Fed will keep interest rates steady in the 4.25-4.50% range, but analysts expect that Trump will ratchet up his attacks on Fed Chair Jerome Powell for not lowering rates.