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The Latest Breaking News from Monetary Policy

A little more conversation: Greater transparency is key to better monetary policy transmission and central bank accountability

The US Federal Reserve's shift towards less transparent monetary policy communication under Chair Kevin Warsh has sparked debate. While the Fed kept rates unchanged, the move away from forward guidance and greater openness is criticized for potentially hindering market guidance, especially in emerging markets like India. Experts argue that clear…

The Economic Times

US Stock market: Fed's Daly says AI, inflation uncertainty clouds interest rate outlook

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly highlighted that US monetary policy remains slightly restrictive, but the economic outlook is increasingly uncertain. The surge in AI-driven investment and a strong job market are creating complex dynamics. While inflation could persist, slowing growth is also a possibility. Daly stressed the need for…

The Economic Times

Dollar Drops on US Job Weakness

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell to a 2-week low on Thursday and finished down by -0.52%. The dollar tumbled on Thursday after a weaker-than-expected US June payroll report, which dampened speculation that the Fed will tighten monetary policy anytime soon. The dollar was also under pressure on Thursday after...

Barchart

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Dollar Tumbles on a Weak US Jobs Report

The dollar index (DXY00 ) fell to a 2-week low today and is down by -0.68%. The dollar tumbled today on the weaker-than-expected US Jun payroll report, which dampened speculation that the Fed will tighten monetary policy anytime soon. The dollar is also under pressure amid weakness in crude oil...

Barchart

Wipro shares could crash 17% on Thursday if ADR is an indicator. What’s worrying investors?

Wipro shares are poised for a significant drop following a steep decline in its ADRs, fueled by investor worries about future earnings and AI's impact on IT services. The company, already down substantially from its peak, faces headwinds from North American market slowdowns and the disruptive potential of generative AI.…

The Economic Times

Gold extends gains on weak jobs data, lower oil prices

Gold prices climbed on Thursday, reaching a one-week high, buoyed by weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data and a dip in oil prices. Investors are now keenly awaiting crucial nonfarm payroll figures later today for further direction on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. This economic outlook is shaping near-term movements in the…

The Economic Times

US Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh says he will stick by 2% inflation target, vows to bring in real-time economic data for making interest rate decisions

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh declared unwavering commitment to the 2% inflation target, signaling no monetary policy easing despite President Trump's calls for rate cuts. Warsh emphasized the Fed's independence and announced plans to leverage real-time economic data.

The Economic Times

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Fed's Warsh: Will decide on rate hike when policymakers 'shut the door' at next meeting

At an international monetary policy forum, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh stressed the necessity of maintaining a 2% inflation target. He notably refrained from giving any forward guidance on interest rates. Warsh's remarks have sparked debate among economists regarding potential future rate increases, as global central banks adopt varying approaches…

The Economic Times

Global Market: BlackRock turns cautious on emerging market stocks, upgrades euro zone bonds

The BlackRock Investment Institute has turned more cautious on emerging market equities and hard-currency debt, while upgrading euro zone government bonds and emerging market local-currency bonds. The shift reflects changing global growth expectations, monetary policy outlooks and evolving investment opportunities linked to artificial intelligence

The Economic Times

Gold slips as fading US-Iran peace prospects reinforce Fed rate-hike bets

Gold prices tumbled to a seven-month low as hopes for a U.S.-Iran peace deal faded, fueling inflation worries and increasing the likelihood of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack indicated a willingness to raise rates if inflation persists. Investors are now keenly awaiting U.S. employment data…

The Economic Times

French heatwave threatens food inflation as agriculture sector suffers

Tomatoes cook on the vine and cereal crops get scorched – climate change is hitting French agriculture, and shoppers are poised to bear the brunt of it. Also, the EU and China set an October deadline to make progress on trade disputes, while the ECB Chief Christine Lagarde says the…

France 24

Bitcoin remains stuck below $60,000 as traders eye Fed outlook and institutional demand

Bitcoin traded below $60,000 as markets remained cautious amid expectations of U.S. monetary policy signals and mixed institutional flows. Price action stayed range-bound with limited momentum despite ETF inflows and ongoing macro uncertainty. Altcoins showed mixed performance while traders monitored Federal Reserve direction and broader liquidity conditions across global markets.

The Economic Times

Global Market: PBOC keeps new overnight repo rate at 1.25%, pumps in 600 billion yuan

China's central bank significantly boosted liquidity, injecting 600 billion yuan via overnight reverse repos, doubling Monday's debut. This move aims to ease month-end funding pressures for banks. The People's Bank of China maintained the borrowing cost at 1.25%, offering a new tool for fine-tuning short-term cash needs without altering broader…

The Economic Times

US Supreme Court rejects Trump's unprecedented bid to fire Fed's Cook

The Supreme Court has taken a significant stand for the Federal Reserve's independence, rejecting President Trump's unusual effort to remove Governor Lisa Cook. The ruling highlights that Fed officials are appointed for set terms and can only be dismissed under specific circumstances, ensuring the central bank remains free from political…

The Economic Times

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Barchart

Dollar Moves Lower as Equity Markets Strengthen

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.13%. Today's stock rally has curbed liquidity demand for the dollar. However, losses in the dollar are limited as today's +1% gain in WTI crude oil prices has strengthened inflation expectations and could prompt the Fed to keep monetary policy tight,...

The Economic Times

Global Market: Japan govt urges BOJ policy coordination as it targets faster economic growth

Japan is aiming for over 1% real economic growth annually, a significant jump from its recent average. This ambitious plan, detailed in a draft policy, seeks to boost domestic growth through increased public-private investment and a focus on strategic industries. The government also intends to manage its debt while pursuing…

Barchart

Dollar Slips as Lower Crude Prices Ease Rate-Hike Concerns

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Friday fell by -0.07%. The dollar moved lower on Friday amid weakness in crude oil prices. WTI crude oil fell more than 3% on Friday to a 4-month low, easing inflation expectations and potentially persuading the Fed to ease monetary policy, a negative factor...

The Economic Times

IMF chief economist says Fed reduction in rate guidance is 'entirely appropriate'

The IMF's chief economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, has endorsed Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's move to reduce explicit forward guidance on monetary policy. Gourinchas stated that overly rigid guidance proved costly when inflation surged, as it tied the Fed's hands. While acknowledging the need for some long-term market guidance, he believes…

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Barchart

Dollar Weakens with Crude Oil Prices

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.32%. The dollar is sliding today amid weakness in crude oil prices. WTI crude oil is down more than 3% today, easing inflation expectations and potentially persuading the Fed to ease monetary policy, a negative factor for the dollar. Losses in...

Barchart

Dollar Slips on Benign US Inflation News

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Thursday fell by -0.17%. The dollar was under pressure as Thursday’s stock rally reduced liquidity demand for the dollar. Also, Thursday’s benign inflation news may keep the Fed from tightening monetary policy, a negative for the dollar, after the May core PCE price index,...

Barchart

Dollar Weakens on Strength in Stocks and Lower Bond Yields

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.19%. The dollar is under pressure as today's stock rally has reduced liquidity demand for the dollar. Also, benign inflation news today may keep the Fed from tightening monetary policy, a negative for the dollar, after the May core PCE price...

The Economic Times

Gold extends losses on Fed tightening outlook, dollar strength

Gold prices tumbled to a seven-month low on Thursday, nearing $3,985 per ounce, as a robust dollar and anticipation of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes weighed heavily. Traders are factoring in multiple rate increases this year, with a significant chance of a September hike. Investors are now keenly awaiting key…

Bangkok Post

InnovestX touts selective investment

Energy-driven inflation, elevated government bond yields, and uncertainty surrounding US monetary policy have continued to pressure the global economy, says InnovestX Securities, stressing the need for a more selective investment strategy for Thai stocks amid limited upside.

The Economic Times

US Stock Market: Warsh to face lawmakers in key semiannual policy testimony on July 14

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is set to deliver his inaugural semiannual monetary policy address to Congress on July 14. This crucial appearance will offer insights into the central bank's stance on inflation, interest rates, and the overall economic outlook. Warsh's testimony follows a departure from tradition earlier this year…

Barchart

Dollar Gains on Euro Weakness and Higher T-note Yields

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Monday rose by +0.17% and is just below last Friday’s 13-month high. The dollar erased early losses on Monday and moved higher after the euro declined when ECB President Lagarde pushed back against any additional tightening of monetary policy by the ECB due to...

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