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The Latest Breaking News from Paul Bloxham

Top forecaster's dire prediction if Iran war drags on

Australia could enter a recession, with the Reserve Bank raising interest rates a further three times, economists warn as fears of a protracted conflict mount.

AAP

Australian households fear double whammy of rate hikes and higher petrol prices will lead to recession

Borrowers face losing hundreds of dollars a month in higher repayments and rising pump rices will add to the pain, economists warn

The Guardian - AU

Interest rate hike 'no slam dunk' amid Iran uncertainty

Traders and economists widely expect the Reserve Bank to lift interest rates but uncertainty over the Iran war could convince the board to keep them on hold.

AAP

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Row over government role fuelling inflation, rate rise

Spending blow-outs by the government will force the Reserve Bank to hike rates, critics say, but the treasurer argues the private sector is driving inflation.

AAP

Dishing the public dosh to force RBA's hand on rates

With the government unlikely to restrain public spending, the Reserve Bank will have to lift rates in 2026 to keep inflation under control, economists say.

AAP

Belt tightening in order as federal payments balloon

More than $12 billion in program cost blowouts demand tighter spending in other parts of the federal budget, the treasurer is warning Australians.

AAP

RBA reveals what would rule out more interest rate cuts

Barring a material rise in unemployment or weaker-than-expected economic growth, mortgage holders can just about give up hope for any more interest rate relief.

AAP

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National economy still stuck in 'productivity malaise'

Despite a modest pick-up in productivity growth and signs private sector employment is recovering, Australia's slump in productivity is far from over.

AAP

Aussie shares edge higher ahead of inflation readout

The ASX200 has climbed into the green in session's final hour, with traders seeming to tread carefully ahead of an important consumer price report.

AAP

RBA governor expected to address tariff impacts

As the dust settles on Donald Trump's 'liberation day' tariff dump, a speech by Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock will be closely scrutinised.

AAP

Strong jobs growth data deflates February rate cut hope

A very healthy jobs market is not adding to the case for a February interest rate cut, with all eyes turning to inflation data due in coming weeks.

AAP

Rates stay on hold and hope for February cut revived

Long-awaited mortgage relief looks closer as the central bank takes another interest rate hike off the table and lays the groundwork for future cuts.

AAP

US recession fears 'nail in coffin' for RBA hike chance

Concerns about the state of the United States economy will add to the case for no change at an upcoming central bank interest rate meeting, economists say.

AAP

Australia to dodge United States' inflation uptick

Australia is unlikely to experience the same inflation upturn troubling the United States, though not all economists agree Australia is better off.

AAP

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AAP

Home price upswing not 'typical recipe' for rate cuts

Confidence may be returning to the housing market due to rate cut speculation but one economist says rising home values could keep the Reserve Bank wary.

AAP

'Nothing's in, nothing's out': RBA keeps options open

The Reserve Bank kept interest rates on hold this month but needs to be convinced it's done enough on inflation before considering cuts to the key cash rate.

AAP

Business profits rebound in December quarter

Australian company profits have bounced back after dropping off steeply last quarter, with business inventories returning a softer-than-expected result.

AAP

All eyes on last cash rate call for 2022

The Reserve Bank board will meet for its December cash rate decision next week and Australia's economic growth for the third quarter will be revealed.

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Financial Times

Labour shortage threatens Australia’s post-pandemic resurgence

Unemployment has hit a near 50-year low but companies are struggling to find workers

People

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