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The Latest Breaking News from Shane Oliver

Greens hold door open to capital gains tax reforms

Support from the Greens could hold the key to opening the door to capital gains tax changes as the government ponders reforms the opposition says it won't back.

AAP

Why some economists go against the flow on RBA rate bet

The Reserve Bank is widely tipped to become the first major central bank on Tuesday to U-turn from rate cuts to rate hikes in the post-COVID inflation era.

AAP

Row over government role fuelling inflation, rate rise

Spending blow-outs by the government will force the Reserve Bank to hike rates, critics say, but the treasurer argues the private sector is driving inflation.

AAP

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The Australian dollar is (oddly) rising – what does ‘sell America’ sentiment have to do with it?

So much for the ‘Trump trade’ – investors are moving money out of US assets amid tariff disputes, attacks on the Federal Reserve and concerns over government debt levels

The Guardian - AU

Healthy jobs market spells rate pain for borrowers

Upcoming inflation data will be make or break for a Reserve Bank rate hike decision following stronger than expected jobs figures, economists say.

AAP

A stooge in the US Fed could blow out inflation in Australia – but Trump is unlikely to get his way

Global consequences likely to be severe if the president is able to take control of US central bank

The Guardian - AU

Dishing the public dosh to force RBA's hand on rates

With the government unlikely to restrain public spending, the Reserve Bank will have to lift rates in 2026 to keep inflation under control, economists say.

AAP

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In Australia’s cost-of-living-crisis, even lawyers are forced to rely on food banks

One in five households earning $91,000 or more experienced food insecurity in the past 12 months, a report has found

The Guardian - AU

Financial markets now certain the RBA will hike interest rates in 2026

The changed outlook is a result of unwelcome inflation data, but could slow down the hot property market

The Guardian - AU

Splurging shoppers push economy over speed limit

The sharpest rise in household spending in 21 months suggests the economy is continuing to grow in strength, heightening Reserve Bank fears about inflation.

AAP

Panic on 47th Street: Gold Buyers in Tears After Record Prices Suddenly Plunge

Panic hits investors as the record gold price suddenly plunges. Discover why the gold rush ended in tears and what market experts are forecasting for the future.

International Business Times UK

Why thousands are queuing for hours in central Sydney to buy gold

Investors are trading out of shares and currencies and into gold – but experts are wary of a correction

The Guardian - AU

The ‘messy’ trend behind Australia’s rising unemployment is worrying economists

The RBA is holding fire on further rate cuts until it is confident that inflation is easing. But the latest jobs data complicates matters

The Guardian - AU

Inflation fading but rate cut doubtful at least for now

RBA boss Michele Bullock will face questions from federal MPs on the timing of interest rate decisions ahead of key economic data releases.

AAP

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AAP

Trade and skills under spotlight in 'promising' talks

The treasurer has sung the praises of the government's long-awaited roundtable after hours of discussions on productivity, trade and technology.

AAP

Upward spending trend unlikely to shift needle on rates

Splurging shoppers are unlikely to dent the chances of an August interest rate cut, with consumer data tipped to deliver an upward spending trend.

AAP

The piece of data that could decide next rate decision

Quarterly inflation data will dominate the economic agenda this week, while dwelling approvals, retail sales and property price figures will also be revealed.

AAP

Servos urged not to price gouge after oil price hike

The consumer watchdog is being urged to make sure motorists aren't ripped off at the bowser after Middle East strikes led to a surge in fuel costs.

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The Guardian - AU

Middle East crisis risks igniting inflation. Here are the markets to watch out for in Australia

Interest rate cuts still likely, experts say, but oil and gold prices are up and the share market is likely to remain volatile

The Guardian - AU

Labor wants to fix Australia’s housing issues – but there’s little hope for those not already on the ladder

Without genuine reform, experts predict house prices to ‘climb by 6-10% in 2025’ and the gap between homeowners and those locked out of market to widen

AAP

Weary retail recovery has rate cut almost in the bag

All the smoke signals point to an interest rate cut as Australian retail spending continues to grow amid cooling consumer and producer inflation.

AAP

Rate cut on horizon amid fears of more stock turmoil

Donald Trump's latest attack on a pillar of the global economy could renew market stress as Australian homeowners eye a supersized rate cut.

The Guardian - AU

‘Sell America’: investors are increasingly avoiding the US – here’s what it means for Australian markets

After decades as a safe haven, Donald Trump’s economic upheaval has some traders looking to put their money elsewhere – and countries looking to decouple their economies

AAP

Trump tariff trouble to cast shadow on domestic market

While fresh insight into the Reserve Bank's rate decision is set to be revealed, all economic eyes will continue to be on the fallout from US-imposed tariffs.

The Guardian - AU

Ten days after ‘liberation day’, many Australians are still wondering: what just happened to global markets?

In a single stroke, Donald Trump undid a century of US trade liberalisation –then, tried to pause it. What changed his mind?

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