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The Latest Breaking News from Shane Oliver

Trump’s tariffs could deliver a $27bn blow to Australia – and the cost of a global trade war would be far higher

How other countries retaliate matters hugely for how Australia’s economy weathers the storm of ‘liberation day’, experts say

The Guardian - AU

Sliding inflation builds hopes of interest rate cut

Another interest rate cut is firmly on the table with analysts expecting the Reserve Bank to seriously consider the move on the back of fresh inflation data.

AAP

Jobs market to hold strong in face of tariff threat

Australia's unemployment rate is expected to stay remarkably low when jobs data is released on Thursday, as the Reserve Bank considers more rate cuts.

AAP

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Trump's second honeymoon sets rocky markets scene

Stretched valuations, risk of a US recession and lingering geopolitical issues have set the scene for an unsteady 2025 for global and Australian shares.

AAP

Feds accept GST recommendation despite state pressure

A controversial GST carve-up will go ahead as a federal minister says his government will not overrule an independent body's recommended funding for states.

AAP

Love rules as Aussies still splurge on Valentine's Day

Cost of living pressures aren't curbing enthusiasm when it comes to splurging on loved ones for Valentine's Day, with flowers and dinners a popular choice.

AAP

Trump tariffs could boost case for rate cut: economists

US tariffs on Australian steel and aluminium would have minimal direct impacts, but weakened Chinese demand for goods like iron ore could hit economic growth.

AAP

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US accuses Australia of breaking ‘verbal commitment’ on aluminium exports – as it happened

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The Guardian - AU

Australia must be a 'model ally' in US tariff talks

Australia must prove its relationship with the US is mutually beneficial to earn another exemption from steel and aluminium tariffs, experts say.

AAP

Crucial inflation readout to determine RBA rate call

Mortgage relief could be just around the corner if predictions of a faster-than-expected fall in price growth are borne out in ABS data released on Wednesday.

AAP

Rate cuts on horizon in mixed 2025 for the economy

Borrowers can expect cashflow relief from interest rate cuts in 2025, yet a further deterioration in the jobs market will also start to be felt.

AAP

RBA tipped to keep rates steady for 12th straight month

Interest rates have been kept on hold for almost a year and are broadly expected to stay there until cuts start in early 2025, provided inflation keeps easing.

AAP

ASX ends worst week since August after global sell-off

The ASX200 has fallen 0.5 per cent after worrying earnings forecasts from US tech stocks and diminishing rate cut hopes in Europe dampened risk sentiment.

AAP

Aussie shares edge higher, snapping two-week win streak

The ASX200 finished less than a 10th of a percentage point higher, with Tuesday's big loss putting it in the red for both the week and the month.

AAP

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AAP

Spring brings brighter outlook as rate hike fears fade

As signs of improving consumer and business confidence emerge, economists are speculating the Reserve Bank might be shifting its thinking on interest rates.

AAP

Retail sales to show economy continues to sputter along

The Australian economy should show further signs of modest growth in upcoming retail trade figures but investors will be more interested in US jobs data.

The Guardian - AU

Commonwealth Bank still predicts interest rate cut in 2024 as RBA defends keeping cash rate on hold

Reserve Bank’s chief economist says it is ‘difficult’ to hear the stories of those who ‘are struggling’

AAP

Aussie market sell off 'merely a blip'

The ASX200's 5.8 per cent plunge over Friday and Monday was uncomfortable, but pullbacks are the price of investing in the stock market, experts say.

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AAP

Australian dollar set to rise into 2025, experts say

With the US Federal Reserve now seen as likely to aggressively cut interest rates in 2024, the Australian dollar could reach 70 US cents.

AAP

Tax cuts, rates chatter to play into consumer sentiment

Consumer and business confidence surveys are due out this week and are likely to show ongoing weakness to reflect a waning economy.

AAP

'Whole series of data' before next rates call: RBA

The Reserve Bank's outlook on inflation is little changed and more data is needed to build a fuller picture of the economy, the deputy governor says.

AAP

'Painful squeeze': inflation spike renews heat on rates

Surprisingly strong inflation has resurrected the possibility of another interest rate hike in an unsettling development for squeezed borrowers.

AAP

Armaguard seeks new talks after $26m deal rejected

Armaguard is still keen to negotiate a cash injection from some of the nation's biggest banks and retailers after rejecting a $26 million deal.

AAP

Thrifty December cures sales-fuelled debt hangover

Many shoppers racked up credit card bills during the November sales but the damage could have been worse given acute financial pressures.

AAP

Unemployment to stay low despite drop in job vacancies

Job vacancies for the November quarter remained high despite a drop of 0.7 per cent, with unemployment tipped to stay low amid global economic pressures.

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