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The Latest Breaking News from Shane Oliver

Upward spending trend unlikely to shift needle on rates

Splurging shoppers are unlikely to dent the chances of an August interest rate cut, with consumer data tipped to deliver an upward spending trend.

AAP

The piece of data that could decide next rate decision

Quarterly inflation data will dominate the economic agenda this week, while dwelling approvals, retail sales and property price figures will also be revealed.

AAP

Servos urged not to price gouge after oil price hike

The consumer watchdog is being urged to make sure motorists aren't ripped off at the bowser after Middle East strikes led to a surge in fuel costs.

AAP

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Middle East crisis risks igniting inflation. Here are the markets to watch out for in Australia

Interest rate cuts still likely, experts say, but oil and gold prices are up and the share market is likely to remain volatile

The Guardian - AU

Labor wants to fix Australia’s housing issues – but there’s little hope for those not already on the ladder

Without genuine reform, experts predict house prices to ‘climb by 6-10% in 2025’ and the gap between homeowners and those locked out of market to widen

The Guardian - AU

Weary retail recovery has rate cut almost in the bag

All the smoke signals point to an interest rate cut as Australian retail spending continues to grow amid cooling consumer and producer inflation.

AAP

Rate cut on horizon amid fears of more stock turmoil

Donald Trump's latest attack on a pillar of the global economy could renew market stress as Australian homeowners eye a supersized rate cut.

AAP

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‘Sell America’: investors are increasingly avoiding the US – here’s what it means for Australian markets

After decades as a safe haven, Donald Trump’s economic upheaval has some traders looking to put their money elsewhere – and countries looking to decouple their economies

The Guardian - AU

Trump tariff trouble to cast shadow on domestic market

While fresh insight into the Reserve Bank's rate decision is set to be revealed, all economic eyes will continue to be on the fallout from US-imposed tariffs.

AAP

Ten days after ‘liberation day’, many Australians are still wondering: what just happened to global markets?

In a single stroke, Donald Trump undid a century of US trade liberalisation –then, tried to pause it. What changed his mind?

The Guardian - AU

Calls mount for RBA to intervene with jumbo rate cut

Markets are betting the Reserve Bank will cut rates by 50 basis points at its next meeting as American tariffs batter the global economy.

AAP

What should you do – if anything – about your superannuation amid market volatility?

Don’t panic, ensure you have a diverse strategy for your investments – and beware of scammers, experts say

The Guardian - AU

Trump’s tariffs could deliver a $27bn blow to Australia – and the cost of a global trade war would be far higher

How other countries retaliate matters hugely for how Australia’s economy weathers the storm of ‘liberation day’, experts say

The Guardian - AU

Sliding inflation builds hopes of interest rate cut

Another interest rate cut is firmly on the table with analysts expecting the Reserve Bank to seriously consider the move on the back of fresh inflation data.

AAP

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AAP

Jobs market to hold strong in face of tariff threat

Australia's unemployment rate is expected to stay remarkably low when jobs data is released on Thursday, as the Reserve Bank considers more rate cuts.

AAP

Trump's second honeymoon sets rocky markets scene

Stretched valuations, risk of a US recession and lingering geopolitical issues have set the scene for an unsteady 2025 for global and Australian shares.

AAP

Feds accept GST recommendation despite state pressure

A controversial GST carve-up will go ahead as a federal minister says his government will not overrule an independent body's recommended funding for states.

AAP

Love rules as Aussies still splurge on Valentine's Day

Cost of living pressures aren't curbing enthusiasm when it comes to splurging on loved ones for Valentine's Day, with flowers and dinners a popular choice.

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AAP

Trump tariffs could boost case for rate cut: economists

US tariffs on Australian steel and aluminium would have minimal direct impacts, but weakened Chinese demand for goods like iron ore could hit economic growth.

The Guardian - AU

US accuses Australia of breaking ‘verbal commitment’ on aluminium exports – as it happened

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AAP

Australia must be a 'model ally' in US tariff talks

Australia must prove its relationship with the US is mutually beneficial to earn another exemption from steel and aluminium tariffs, experts say.

AAP

Crucial inflation readout to determine RBA rate call

Mortgage relief could be just around the corner if predictions of a faster-than-expected fall in price growth are borne out in ABS data released on Wednesday.

AAP

Rate cuts on horizon in mixed 2025 for the economy

Borrowers can expect cashflow relief from interest rate cuts in 2025, yet a further deterioration in the jobs market will also start to be felt.

AAP

RBA tipped to keep rates steady for 12th straight month

Interest rates have been kept on hold for almost a year and are broadly expected to stay there until cuts start in early 2025, provided inflation keeps easing.

AAP

ASX ends worst week since August after global sell-off

The ASX200 has fallen 0.5 per cent after worrying earnings forecasts from US tech stocks and diminishing rate cut hopes in Europe dampened risk sentiment.

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