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The Latest Breaking News from Thierry Wizman

Wall Street won’t like it—but Kevin Warsh at the Fed may mark the end of your chatty neighborhood chairman

Until yesterday, many might have hoped that Warsh’s criticism of forward guidance was an ideal rather than an actionable opinion. They were wrong.

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Kevin Warsh would be one of the wealthiest Fed chairs ever and says he ‘lived the American Dream.’ Here’s what he wants for the central bank

During and after the pandemic, the Fed “missed its mark,” Warsh told senators, and the U.S. economy is “still dealing with the legacy of policy errors.”

Fortune

Three weeks into the Iran war that's requested $200 billion, here’s what success for Trump might look like

The top priority remains reopening the Strait of Hormuz after the military offensive achieves enough success to weaken Iranian capabilities.

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Greenland deal doesn’t solve ‘mutual alienation’ between America and its allies, warns economists, and it puts the USD under threat

“That’s not a good place to be if you want to preserve the USD’s reserve-currency status. That status was built on the premise of U.S. leadership and protection,” Macquarie strategists say.

Fortune

Wall Street will be ruled by ‘rumor and pseudo-drama’ if government shutdown goes ahead, warns UBS

Wall Street braces for a U.S. government shutdown as payroll data stalls, leaving the Fed and investors flying blind on key economic signals.

Fortune

The dollar is in decline because of a global ‘loss of faith in U.S. leadership,’ Macquarie says

The U.S.’s rough treatment of its former allies is one explanation for the weakening dollar, according to Macquarie analyst Thierry Wizman.

Fortune

White knuckles and 'massive unknowns' ahead of Trump’s July 9th tariff deadline

Trump’s next moves could impact how countries go about the next round of trade talks

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Trump’s ‘art of the retreat’ may signal he’s setting Powell up to take the fall for economic turmoil

Trump’s tactical retreat on key points like Fed Chair Powell and trade negotiations with China signals a change within the White House—potentially lining up a scapegoat if its policies fall flat.

Fortune

Trump had a ‘test case’ for trade negotiations with Japan. The failure to reach a deal now has analysts wondering if any will be signed

Trump’s team had hoped for some quick wins when it came to tariff negotiations. That’s looking increasingly unlikely.

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The U.S. is now gearing up for a confrontation with China, which some say was the plan all along

The case for and against the existence of Trump’s Grand Plan.

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The Fed is expected to hold rates steady, as investors white-knuckle it through a brutal selloff and recession fears. 'Policymakers aren't providing any encouragement'

The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates at their current level.

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Markets are starting to view Trump as more of a ‘pushover’ on tariffs than a protectionist, UBS economist says

President Donald Trump announced his administration will study reciprocal tariffs, but stopped short of implementing them at this time.

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The U.S. dollar is weakening because some investors think Kamala Harris will win

The dollar should be relatively strong, yet it’s close to its 2024 low.

Fortune

Trump says the dollar is too strong—but his policies may make it even stronger, bank strategist says

An immigration clampdown, aggressive tax cuts, and heavy tariffs could lift the U.S. dollar even as Trump tries to fight what he calls a "currency problem."

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Long periods of political violence are 'very bad' for the markets, analyst warns

The U.S.’s pivotal role in the global economy means that any negative effects from political violence would “spill over to the rest of the world.”

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