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The Latest Breaking News from Jim Reid

March Fed Meeting: Live Updates and Commentary

The March Fed meeting is a key economic event, with Wall Street waiting to see what Fed Chair Powell & Co. will say about interest rates as energy prices spike.

Kiplinger

This week is Jerome Powell's penultimate meeting as chairman of the Fed—don't expect him to drop Wall Street many hints

"Only expect minor statement tweaks, including smoothed language on recent labour data," noted Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid.

Fortune

Recession and stagflation risks are rising due to Iran conflict, as economist warns it’s ‘getting harder to argue disruption will be temporary’

"Clearly, the longer that oil remains at these levels, expectations of a sustained shock will only grow," Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid said.

Fortune

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A shiny new Fed chair will be keen to make an entrance with a base rate cut—yet the committee is only growing more hawkish due to Iran

“Clearly there’s growing skepticism that a new chair can start cutting straight away, particularly with the data as strong as it is right now,” noted Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid.

Fortune

Deutsche Bank asked AI how it was planning to destroy jobs. And the robot answered

It’s like looking into a crystal ball, or being told by your predator exactly how you’ll be consumed.

Fortune

Friday the 13th brings global selloff in stocks and gold as AI fear grips markets

But analysts on Wall Street this morning are suggesting that the selloff may be overdone.

Fortune

Don’t get comfortable with the global stock rally today: Goldman’s ‘Panic Index’ is approaching ’max fear’

Every time stocks take a dip in reaction to bad news, a relentless wave of buy-the-dippers has stepped up to send them back upward again.

Fortune

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‘FOMO’ trade finally loses steam as gold and silver sink on Warsh nomination

“Price action had long since detached from any sane discussion on debasement, but it often takes only a small ripple to trigger a broader correction,” noted Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid.

Fortune

Taco Thursday: European and US stocks rise after Trump ‘chickens out’ over tariffs

Gains come after US president says he will not use military force to acquire territory and cites ‘framework deal’

The Guardian - US

Wall Street is once again banking on the TACO trade because they've been 'burned' by believing Trump before

At the time of writing, only 17% of Polymarket bettors believe all the tariffs Trump has threatened against Europe will go into effect on Feb. 1. A further minority of 40% believe any tariffs will go into effect in a fortnight’s time.

Fortune

America’s ‘Achilles Heel’ of national debt is exposed by Trump’s Greenland tariff threat, warns Deutsche Bank

"While in many ways it feels like the U.S. holds the economic cards, it doesn’t hold all the funding cards in a world that will be very disturbed by the weekend’s events."

Fortune

US oil company shares and Venezuelan bonds rally after Maduro seized, sending Dow to record high – as it happened

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news, with gold and defence company shares also higher today

The Guardian - UK

Stocks: Everything is on hold until the Fed delivers that rate cut on Wednesday

The market will get moving again once it digests Chair Powell’s statement and his remarks to the press.

Fortune

Global stock markets fall sharply over AI bubble fears

Drop in US, Asia and Europe follows warning from bank bosses that market correction could lie ahead

The Guardian - UK

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Fortune

The U.S. housing market is 'starved' for affordability: Boomers edge millennials and Gen Z out of homeownership in record numbers

Home buyers need to make six figures to afford a median-priced home in the U.S.

Fortune

For now, data ignorance is bliss on Wall Street as investors warned not to rely too heavily on private surveys

"The danger with this data is that its message will be given unwarranted credibility by the absence of proper economic data," said UBS's chief economist, Paul Donovan.

Fortune

Powell gave traders a green light to double down on AI—but the markets punished Meta and Microsoft anyway

The market declined to demonstrate irrational exuberance despite upbeat remarks from the Fed.

Fortune

A ‘perfect alignment’ across markets has Wall Street 100% convinced of a rate cut

Job weakness and softer inflation data push markets to fully price in a September Fed cut, but Powell’s decision could spark volatility if he resists.

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Fortune

The first battle in the war on Fed independence takes shape today at Lisa Cook’s emergency hearing

Trump’s bid to oust Fed governor Lisa Cook faces a legal showdown as she sues to block her removal, escalating the fight over Fed independence.

Fortune

Trump’s threat to fire another Fed member has Wall Street weighing the price of ‘wrecking institutions’ with ‘scapegoat economics’

While UBS’s Paul Donovan told clients the attempt was “completely unprecedented,” Wharton’s Jeremy Siegel argued her ousting adds “noise but little substance” compared with the Fed’s longer-term policy pivots.

Fortune

Markets have convinced themselves they’ll get a September base rate cut. Now they’re eyeing a double reduction

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is pushing for 50 bps to offset missed opportunities earlier this summer, but some analysts warn that rising core inflation to 3.1% and upcoming jobs data could still delay action.

Fortune

Markets are so used to the TACO trade they didn’t even blink when Trump extended a tariff delay with China

Once upon a time, a decision to delay sky-high tariffs on China would have been an 11th hour save—but in 2025 markets barely noticed.

Fortune

Stocks slide globally as investors digest Trump’s new tariffs—and analysts warn the worst is yet to come

"These taxes do not show up in consumer baskets with full force until January next year," UBS says.

Fortune

Japanese equities rally on ‘massive’ U.S. trade deal, with markets buoyed by hopes of more 11th hour announcements

While the announcement was cause for optimism ahead of Aug. 1, analysts remained concerned about the steep tariffs still looming for key trading partners such as Brazil and the EU.

Fortune

Today’s housing market is so upside down there are more senior citizens buying homes than Gen Z and millennials

Home buyers need to make six figures to afford a median-priced home in the U.S.

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