The Latest Breaking News from MRP

The 2024 UK election campaign was dominated by discussion of the polls, from start to finish. This was partially because of the sheer volume of polls being published. We had more MRP (multi-level regression post-stratification) polls than ever before, many giving quite different pictures of the size of Labour’s lead.

In today’s newsletter: Whether it was a new government, the success of independents, or a farewell to Truss, in the end this election had something for everyone

Letters: Adrian Carter is using polling to help him vote tactically. Plus a letter from Keith Flett

It’s 100 years since the Labour party took office for the first time, back then with a minority government. Now, in 2024, it looks set to win an election with what will possibly the largest majority in history.

Exclusive: The Labour candidate hoping to become the first person to defeat a sitting prime minister explains why rural England is abandoning the Tories

The seedy betting scandal is the latest self-inflicted blow to the Conservatives’ election effort

The Tories want people to assume the outcome is decided but the only way to remove this government is to vote them out, says Labour’s national campaign coordinator

Scenarios using a large-scale data model that predicts individual seat tallies indicate anything from 53-155 Tory MPs

In today’s newsletter: A frantic 24 hours for the party sees their campaign going from bad to worse – here’s what happened