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The Latest Breaking News from Datafolha

Flávio Bolsonaro Just Tied Lula in Prediction Market Polls — While Brazil's Supreme Court Tears Itself Apart

Flávio Bolsonaro has pulled even with Lula weeks before Brazil's vote, as a Supreme Court feud rattles the race. What's driving it, and what got distorted.

Latin Times

Brazil Marks Independence Day at 204 Years Amid Tightest Election in a Generation: Key Numbers to Know

Brazil turns 204 as a new poll shows Flavio Bolsonaro edging past Lula for the first time, with rate cuts and GDP data shaping October's vote.

Latin Times

Brazil's Election Just Got Too Close to Call: What's Behind Lula's Shrinking Lead

Lula's lead over Flávio Bolsonaro is narrowing ahead of Brazil's October vote, as U.S. tariffs, Javier Milei and a slowing economy reshape the race.

Latin Times

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Lula holds 4-point lead over Flavio Bolsonaro in Brazil runoff poll

Lula leads Senator Bolsonaro in a presidential poll ahead of October elections. The gap has narrowed by one percentage point, within the error margin. In a simulated runoff, Lula receives forty-seven percent of the vote. His approval rating fell to forty-seven percent, while disapproval rose. This poll is the first…

The Economic Times

Lula maintains lead over Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of Brazil vote

The findings indicate that Bolsonaro may have limited the political fallout from reports that he sought financial backing from a now-imprisoned banker for a film about his father, former president Jair Bolsonaro, who was convicted of plotting a coup against Brazil's democratic order and is serving a 27-year prison sentence.…

The Times of India

Almost a third of Brazilians disapprove of Lula, poll shows

Almost a third of Brazilians disapprove of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, putting the leftist leader at about the same level of unpopularity as his right-wing predecessor Jair Bolsonaro during the first three months of his presidency, a poll cited by the newspaper Folha de S.Paulo showed on Saturday.

Reuters

Brazil presidential contenders in final push before vote

Brazilians decide their president for the next four years on Sunday, and the two remaining candidates are focusing last efforts in voter-packed areas in Brazil’s southeast.

Tribune News Service

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Analysis-Bolsonaro's cash injection gains traction with poor Brazilians ahead of vote

A wave of new government spending by President Jair Bolsonaro may be giving him a boost in the final stretch of a close reelection campaign, opinion polling shows, in a dangerous precedent for electoral law, according to legal experts.

Reuters

Brazil's Lula and Bolsonaro statistically tied in presidential race -poll

Brazil's presidential race has narrowed to a 4-percentage-point gap between leftist front-runner Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and far-right incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro, and they are now statistically tied, according to a poll published on Wednesday.

Reuters

Lula leading Bolsonaro in second round of Brazil election, poll shows

Brazilian leftist leader Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is leading right-wing President Jair Bolsonaro, with 49% of voter support against the incumbent's 44% ahead of an Oct. 30 runoff vote, according to a poll by Datafolha published on Friday.

Reuters

Lula leading Bolsonaro in second round of Brazil election, poll shows

Leftist Brazilian presidential candidate Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is leading right-wing President Jair Bolsonaro, with 49% of voter support against the incumbent's 44%, ahead of an Oct. 30 runoff vote, according to a poll published on Friday.

Reuters

Brazil's Bolsonaro and the right outperform, defying polls

Brazil’s election has provided the world yet another example of polls missing the mark, with incumbent Jair Bolsonaro considerably outperforming expectations to prove the far-right wave he rode to the presidency remains a force

The Independent UK

Brazil's presidential race goes to run-off as Bolsonaro outperforms polls

Brazil's presidential election is headed for a run-off vote, electoral authorities said on Sunday, after President Jair Bolsonaro's surprising strength in a first-round vote spoiled rival Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's hopes of winning outright. Read FRANCE 24’s liveblog to see how the election unfolded. All times are Paris time…

France 24

Brazil election: A campaign marred by political violence

Brazil is gearing up for the most polarised elections in its recent history. Throughout the country, the electoral campaign has been marred by assaults, death threats and even murders. As the first round October 2 vote draws closer, more than two thirds of the population say they are afraid of…

France 24

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Foreign Policy

The Battle for Brazil’s Evangelicals

After fueling Bolsonaro’s rise, some are flocking to Lula’s camp with earthly—and heavenly—concerns.

The Independent UK

Brazil’s decisive debate on eve of presidential election

Tens of millions of Brazilians were glued to their TVs late Thursday for the final presidential debate before Sunday's elections

Reuters

Lula leads Bolsonaro by 14 points ahead of Brazil vote -Datafolha poll

Brazil's Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads President Jair Bolsonaro by 14 points, according to a poll released on Thursday that showed the far-right incumbent has again lost momentum against his leftist rival just three days ahead of the presidential election.

France 24

Political violence casts a shadow over Brazil’s general election

Upcoming elections in Brazil are the most polarised in recent history and also the most radicalised – across the country, the electoral campaign has been marked by physical attacks, death threats and even murder. It is a source of growing concern as the October 2 vote draws closer, with more…

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Reuters

Lula challenges Bolsonaro's grip on Brazil evangelical vote

When Ariel Nery left the pews of her conservative evangelical megachurch for the floor cushions and hammocks of the progressive Igreja Mangue church four years ago, the backlash from her family often left her in tears on Sunday nights.

Tribune News Service

Bolsonaro, Lula battle for votes in Brazil’s largest state

The front-runners in Brazil’s presidential election are seeking support in the country’s most populous state, where the polling gap between them has narrowed in the last days of the campaign.

Reuters

Lula slightly boosts lead over Bolsonaro ahead of Brazil first round -poll

Brazil's presidential frontrunner Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva slightly boosted his lead over incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro to 14 percentage points in a poll published on Thursday by pollster Datafolha, less than two weeks before the Oct. 2 first-round vote.

Reuters

Lula's lead over Bolsonaro edges higher ahead of Brazil election - Datafolha poll

Brazil's presidential hopeful Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads incumbent Jair Bolsonaro by 12 points, a Thursday poll showed, while the far-right leader seeking reelection has lost the pace against his leftist rival's edge ahead of the Oct. 2 vote.

Reuters

Bolsonaro narrows deficit to Lula ahead of Brazil election - Datafolha poll

Brazil's President Jair Bolsonaro's slightly narrowed his deficit to opponent Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva ahead of an October election, a poll published on Friday showed.

Reuters

Bolsonaro gains on Lula ahead of Brazil election - Datafolha poll

Brazil's Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has a 13-percentage-point lead over President Jair Bolsonaro, but the far-right incumbent has narrowed his leftist rival's advantage ahead of the October election, according to a poll published on Thursday.

WEKU

Behind in polls, Brazil's Bolsonaro hopes evangelicals will carry him to reelection

Jair Bolsonaro is relying on support from the country's quickly growing evangelical community to pull off an upset against former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October.

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