The Latest Breaking News from Datafolha

Inside Lula's Second-Round Reckoning on Globo: Fiscal Standoffs, a Supreme Court Defense, and a Race That Got Closer

Lula's second-round Globo interview produced a self-critique on communication, a live pushback on fiscal cuts, and a poll showing a tightened race.

Latin Times · Oct 16

The Tightest Runoff Poll Yet Just Handed the Dollar a Boost: What Brazil's Election Means for Your Money

Brazil's runoff tightened in polls, sending USD/BRL back above R$5.04. Here's what the market is watching before the Oct. 25 vote.

Latin Times · Oct 15

Brazil's Flavio Bolsonaro wins support of third-place candidate in presidential race

Brazil's right-wing presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro secured third-place finisher Augusto Cury's endorsement on Thursday, strengthening his position against incumbent President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva ahead of the runoff. Cury won nearly three percent in Sunday's first round. A Datafolha poll put Bolsonaro ahead with 52 percent against Lula's 48…

France 24 · Oct 9

São Paulo, Rio, Minas Gerais Governor Races: What State Elections Tell Us Before the Presidential Winner Is Called

Brazil's 2026 election is live. Tarcísio leads São Paulo at 50%, Paes holds Rio, and Cleitinho dominates Minas. Here's what to watch before the presidential count.

Latin Times · Oct 4

Brazil Presidential Elections 2026: The Five Numbers That Will Decide Whether Lula and Flávio Go to a Runoff

Brazil's first-round election pits Lula against Flávio Bolsonaro today. Results drop at 5 p.m. BRT. Here's what the numbers mean for October 25.

Latin Times · Oct 4

Brazil Votes Sunday — and It's a Dead Heat With a Patron Saint at the Center of It All

Brazil votes October 4 with Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked at 42% each. A patron saint controversy, 1,125 court-ordered post removals, and U.S. tariffs set the stage.

Latin Times · Oct 2

Polymarket Says Bolsonaro Leads. Brazil's Polls Say It's Tied. Both Are Right — Here's Why.

Brazil's election looks different on Polymarket vs. polls — here's why both are technically correct and neither tells the whole story.

Latin Times · Sep 25

Inside the Dead Heat Between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro — What Voters Abroad Decide on Brazil's Election Day

Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro are locked in a statistical tie ahead of Brazil's Oct. 4 vote, with pollsters split on who's actually ahead.

Latin Times · Sep 18

Flávio Bolsonaro Just Tied Lula in Prediction Market Polls — While Brazil's Supreme Court Tears Itself Apart

Flávio Bolsonaro has pulled even with Lula weeks before Brazil's vote, as a Supreme Court feud rattles the race. What's driving it, and what got distorted.

Latin Times · Sep 12

Brazil Marks Independence Day at 204 Years Amid Tightest Election in a Generation: Key Numbers to Know

Brazil turns 204 as a new poll shows Flavio Bolsonaro edging past Lula for the first time, with rate cuts and GDP data shaping October's vote.

Latin Times · Sep 7