The Latest Breaking News from Quaest

The Tightest Runoff Poll Yet Just Handed the Dollar a Boost: What Brazil's Election Means for Your Money

Brazil's runoff tightened in polls, sending USD/BRL back above R$5.04. Here's what the market is watching before the Oct. 25 vote.

Latin Times · Oct 15

Brazil's Betting Ban Just Torched $200M in Football Sponsorships. Now the Courts Decide.

Brazil banned fixed-odds betting and online casino games, wiping out R$1 billion in football sponsorships and forcing global operators offline overnight.

Latin Times · Oct 7

Every First-Round Leader in Brazilian Presidential Elections Has Won the Final Vote — Until Now, Lula Hopes

Flávio Bolsonaro led Brazil's first round 47% to 45%, invoking a streak no second-place candidate has broken since 1989. Here's what history and the polls say now.

Latin Times · Oct 5

Brazil Votes Sunday — and It's a Dead Heat With a Patron Saint at the Center of It All

Brazil votes October 4 with Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked at 42% each. A patron saint controversy, 1,125 court-ordered post removals, and U.S. tariffs set the stage.

Latin Times · Oct 2

Trade War Meets Ballot Box: U.S. and Brazil Face Off in Milwaukee With 4 Days Left to Vote

U.S.-Brazil trade negotiators meet in Milwaukee today as Brazil votes in four days. What the tariff standoff, a revoked ambassador's visa, and diaspora fear mean.

Latin Times · Sep 30

In Brazil, frustration over cost of living undermines Lula's reelection bid

Kleyton Zacarioto, a butcher, expresses frustration with high food prices impacting household budgets ahead of elections. Incumbent President Lula highlights improving economic indicators like falling unemployment amidst voter dissatisfaction. Senator Flavio Bolsonaro argues that the economy has worsened, stating that families are financially strained. Lula's recent measures to boost disposable…

The Economic Times · Sep 26

Elections in Brazil: a subdued, digital campaign heightens uncertainty about the results

With less than two weeks to go before voters head to the polls on Oct. 4, 2026, Brazil is experiencing a presidential election campaign that is much less heated than many would expect given the high-level of polarization in the country.

The Conversation · Sep 23

Brazil election: Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro hold one-point leads in separate runoff polls

Two Brazilian presidential polls released on Monday produced opposite one-point leads in a possible runoff, with neither President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva nor Senator Flavio Bolsonaro ahead outside the surveys' margins of error.

The Times of India · Sep 22

Brazil election heats up: Lula, Flavio Bolsonaro locked in razor-thin runoff race

Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro are statistically tied in potential second-round matchups ahead of Brazil’s October presidential election. Two opinion polls released on Monday showed the race tightening.

The Times of India · Sep 14

Lula vs. Bolsonaro: Why Much of the Real Campaign Is Happening in Washington

Tariffs and sanctions tangled Washington in Brazil's Oct. 4 vote — polling suggests the pressure campaign may be lifting the candidate it targeted.

Latin Times · Aug 15