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Latin Times
Latin Times
Politics
S. Lee

Brazil Presidential Elections 2026: The Five Numbers That Will Decide Whether Lula and Flávio Go to a Runoff

Flávio Bolsonaro Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva Brazil Flavio Bolsonaro Jair Bolsonaro Tarcísio de Freitas TSE Cláudio Castro Datafolha Michelle Bolsonaro
A man votes during the presidential election at a polling station in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on October 4, 2026. Brazilians head to the polls in a highly polarized presidential election between incumbent leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva -seeking a fourth presidential mandate- and right-wing senator Flavio Bolsonaro, who emerged as the leading figure of the conservative movement following the conviction and imprisonment of his father, former president Jair Bolsonaro. (Credit: Photo by MAURO PIMENTEL / AFP via Getty Images)
People queue at a polling station in Sao Paulo, Brazil, on October 4, 2026, during the presidential election. Brazilians head to the polls in a highly polarized presidential election between incumbent leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva -seeking a fourth presidential mandate- and right-wing senator Flavio Bolsonaro, who emerged as the leading figure of the conservative movement following the conviction and imprisonment of his father, former president Jair Bolsonaro. (Credit: Photo by Luis ROBAYO / AFP via Getty Images)
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