The Latest Breaking News from Polymarket

Warsh Says Five-Year Inflation Fight Won’t End Fast as 30-Year Tops 5.2%: What Do Prediction Markets Say?

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh held interest rates steady Wednesday for a fifth straight meeting, then told reporters that while the Fed "hasn’t done much in 42 days, the markets have done quite a bit."

Benzinga · Jul 29

Exclusive: Polymarket launches institute to fund independent academic research on prediction markets

The Polymarket Institute, which the company says is the first of its kind, will examine how event markets challenge traditional polling and projection models.

Fortune · Jul 29

Federal Judge Halts Minnesota's Prediction Market Ban, Signaling Other States' Efforts Might Be Illegal Too

A preliminary injunction will keep Kalshi and Polymarket active in the state after a district judge found federal law preempts the state's ban.

Reason · Jul 28

Will prediction market ‘catch fire’ in UK, replicating US boom?

World Cup and events like Clacton byelection is driving interest in sites such as Polymarket, with UK gamblers easily able to sidestep regulation

The Guardian - UK · Jul 26

Game Over? Diego Pavia Roster Prediction Market Low

Diego Pavia faces challenges to land on an NFL roster by Week 1 on Polymarket.

Sports Illustrated · Jul 24

LeBron James, the only billionaire currently active in the NBA, signs a minimum contract with the Philadelphia 76ers

"I’ve never been able to have no clue what to do and take real time to just think," the chosen one said about his latest decision.

Fortune · Jul 24

Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up or Down Today?

The S&P 500 suffered its steepest one-day decline in a month on Thursday as surging oil prices and earnings from Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) and Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) (NASDAQ:GOOG) rattled investors, but Polymarket traders are betting the benchmark index will rebound at Friday’s open.

Benzinga · Jul 24

The Miami Heat, LeBron James, and prediction markets: How a ‘mistake’ social media post turbocharged a $245 million wager

“There’s a market for everything, and I think people have recognized that there’s a market for everything,” Georgetown’s Marty Conway told Fortune.

Fortune · Jul 23

Trump Jr.'s Investment Firm Posts 200% Returns, Helped by Polymarket's Meteoric Rise

Donald Trump Jr.’s investment firm 1789 Capital has reportedly generated returns of roughly 200%, driven partly by an early bet on prediction market platform Polymarket.

Benzinga · Jul 23

Polymarket Traders See Rising Odds of Cilia Flores' Release as Speculation Grows Over Possible U.S.-Venezuela Deal

Prediction market bettors are increasingly wagering that Cilia Flores, the wife of former Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, could be released from U.S. custody before the end of the year, fueling speculation that Washington and Caracas may eventually reach some form of negotiated agreement.

Latin Times · Jul 23