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The Latest Breaking News from CFTC

Hogs Holding Mixed at Midday

Lean hog futures are mixed with July up a tick and other contracts down 50 cents. USDA’s national base hog price was not reported on Monday morning due to low volume. The CME Lean Hog Index was 34 cents higher on July 9 at $92.69. The weekly CFTC Commitment of...

Crypto Bill Fight Moves Back To The Senate As White House Rejects Claims It Is Refusing To Make Nominations For Key Appointments

Crypto Bill Fight Moves Back To The Senate As White House Rejects Claims It Is Refusing To Make Nominations For Key Appointments

The White House pushed back Thursday against claims that it has refused to nominate Democratic commissioners to key financial regulators, adding another dispute to the debate over U.S. cryptocurrency rules as the Senate prepares to return from recess.

International Business Times

Federal Judge rejects Kalshi bid to block New York gambling enforcement law

Federal Judge rejects Kalshi bid to block New York gambling enforcement law

In a decision on Tuesday, US District Judge Analisa Torres in Manhattan said Kalshi did not deserve a preliminary injunction, because the ‌federal Commodity ⁠Exchange Act ⁠did not supersede New York's gambling laws as applied to Kalshi's sports-event contracts.

The Economic Times

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Hogs Weakness Continuing on Tuesday

Lean hog futures are down a quarter to $2.02 so far on Tuesday. USDA’s national base hog price was not reported on Tuesday morning due to thin trade. The CME Lean Hog Index was back down 12 cents on July 2 at $91.55. CFTC data showed managed money adding 1,807...

Hogs See Mixed Action on Monday

Lean hog futures were mixed on Monday, with contracts down 50 cents to 90 cents higher at the close. USDA’s national base hog price was not reported on Monday afternoon due to thin trade. The CME Lean Hog Index was back up 19 cents on July 1 at $91.67. CFTC...

Meta Shows Urgency as Investors Get Exasperated But Don't Expect a Major Rally Yet

Meta has announced a flurry of new initiatives and is reportedly looking to launch a prediction markets app. While these are steps in the right direction, don't expect a major rally yet.

'Deeply Troubling': Senators Demand CFTC Probe Into Polymarket's Deceptive Ads as Revenue Surpasses $1 Billion

Prediction market's US expansion lifts revenue past $1B, but senators probe claims of fake trades, simulated sites and undisclosed paid influencers in promotional campaigns.

International Business Times UK

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What Are Perpetual Futures and Where Can You Trade Them?

What Are Perpetual Futures and Where Can You Trade Them?

Learn how perpetual futures work, why they’re expanding into regulated markets, and what risks and opportunities traders need to understand.

Polymarket's Alleged Fake Trades Don't Justify a Crackdown on Prediction Markets

Polymarket's Alleged Fake Trades Don't Justify a Crackdown on Prediction Markets

A Wall Street Journal investigation uncovered $1.9 million in fake bets to market the platform. Punishing the prediction market industry isn't the answer.

Polymarket allegedly faked trades. Chances are slim Trump admin investigates, says sports-betting attorney

Polymarket allegedly faked trades. Chances are slim Trump admin investigates, says sports-betting attorney

A recent Wall Street Journal investigation found that the prediction market allegedly hired influencers to stage fake trades as part of its marketing campaign to attract U.S. users.

Prediction markets surge in US as public health advocates call for support to combat gambling

Prediction markets surge in US as public health advocates call for support to combat gambling

Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket operating in areas with limited resources for people with gambling problems

The Guardian - US

Son of pro-crypto New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand raises $30 million to launch a derivatives exchange

Son of pro-crypto New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand raises $30 million to launch a derivatives exchange

Lux Capital led the investment, which values the Stanford graduate’s exchange at $300 million.

Prediction markets are opening many new opportunities for unregulated insider trading and unethical bets – in the name of making a game out of politics

Prediction markets are opening many new opportunities for unregulated insider trading and unethical bets – in the name of making a game out of politics

Arrests for betting on the U.S. military operation that removed Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro. Death threats from gamblers to a journalist reporting on an Iranian missile attack on Israel. Fears of government officials manipulating world events – including the Iran war – to make a quick buck.

The Conversation

Cotton Ignoring Outside Markets for Midday Gains

Cotton Ignoring Outside Markets for Midday Gains

Cotton futures are showing Monday strength of 54 to 64 points at midday. Crude oil is down $4.41 at midday this morning after the US and Iran came to a peace deal over the weekend, to be signed this Friday. The US dollar index is down $0.285 at $99.460. CFTC...

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Corn Holds onto Bounce into Friday’s Close, as CFTC shows Specs Turning Bearish

Corn futures slipped into the Friday close, with contracts steady to 1 ¾ cents higher on the day. July was down 4 ¾ cents this week, with December down 5 ¾ cents. The CmdtyView national average Cash Corn price was up 1 1/4 cents at $3.81. The weekly CFTC Commitment...

Cotton Posts Modest Gains on Friday

Cotton futures closed with 4 to 49 points on Friday, with July still down 81 points on the week, as December fell 106 points. Crude oil was down $3.50 to $84.21/barrel. The US dollar index was down $0.054 at $99.795. CFTC data showed managed money trimming their net short in...

Sports Illustrated

Proposed Prediction Markets Rule Change Could Impact Event Contracts

The CFTC has proposed new rules that would restrict what Kalshi, Polymarket, and other prediction markets are allowed to offer.

Cotton Holding Firm on Monday

Cotton futures are trading with 5 to 15 point gains, with July the exception, down 25 points at midday. The US dollar index is down $0.106 at $99.94. Crude oil us up 79 cents so far on the day. Weekly CFTC data showed spec funds trimming 1798 contracts from their...

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Cotton Slides Lower on Friday

Cotton futures faced outside pressure on Friday, with contracts down 41 to 137 points across the board, with July falling 240 points. The US dollar index was up $0.643 at $100.025. Crude oil losses of $2.79 added some modest pressure. Weekly CFTC data showed spec funds trimming 1798 contracts from...

The Guardian - US

George Santos reportedly investigated by DoJ over suspicious Kalshi bets

Disgraced former congressman said to have put bet on whether he would be at Trump’s State of the Union speech

The Economic Times

Coinbase, Kalshi bring regulated perpetual crypto futures to US investors

Perpetual futures, or "perps", are derivatives that lack a traditional expiration date, allowing traders to maintain positions indefinitely without the need to roll over contracts. These ‌instruments also permit ⁠high ⁠degrees of leverage - often as much as 50-to-1 - enabling investors to amplify their exposure to market moves.

International Business Times

Trump-Era CFTC Moves To Scrap $5 Million Gemini Penalty Tied To Winklevoss Twins

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has asked a federal judge to vacate a $5 million settlement imposed last year on Gemini Trust Company.

Kalshi adds perpetual futures for U.S. traders following thumbs-up from key regulator

The $86 trillion perps market is finally coming onshore.

The Economic Times

Trump reiterates vision to make US the Crypto Capital of World. Here is what experts say

President Donald Trump is defending the cryptocurrency and prediction market industries. He is opposing state-led efforts to restrict these sectors. Federal authorities and state governments are in a dispute over regulatory control. Trump's family has financial ties to these industries. The outcome will shape the future of prediction markets across…

The Guardian - US

‘Scum’: Trump attacks US states’ efforts to regulate prediction markets

President says federal government must retain regulatory authority as concerns grow over ‘addictive’ platforms

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