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The Latest Breaking News from CFTC

Tensions over prediction markets dominate Senate hearing

Senators at a Commerce Committee panel hearing aired concerns Wednesday about rapidly growing prediction markets, appearing largely unswayed by industry arguments that they are not a form of betting subject to state regulation. Members of the committee’s Consumer Protection, Technology and Data Privacy Subcommittee were in agreement at a hearing that…

Roll Call

Gambling addicts are struggling as Kalshi and Polymarket explode in the US: ‘You could be betting your rent away’

Experts warn that although prediction markets are not regulated as gambling platforms, they are just as addictive

The Guardian - US

‘You can bet on it’: Utah lawmakers form united front in push to ban prediction markets

Utah’s heavily Mormon population is largely opposed to all gambling, even on financial exchange platforms

The Guardian - US

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Corn Falls Lower into the Weekend

Corn futures closed the Friday session with contracts falling 7 to 11 ¾ vents as July ended the week with losses of 15 ½ cents. December was12 ½ cents lower. The CmdtyView national average Cash Corn price was down 11 cents to $4.16 3/4. The weekly CFTC update from Friday...

Barchart

Explained: What is US Senate’s CLARITY Act and why does it matter for crypto investors?

The Republican-led Senate Banking Committee has advanced the long-awaited CLARITY Act, a landmark crypto regulation bill aimed at defining digital assets, resolving SEC–CFTC jurisdiction overlap, and setting rules for decentralised platforms. The move brings long-needed regulatory clarity, boosting industry confidence even as Democrats raise concerns over safeguards and stablecoin provisions.

The Economic Times

Bitcoin price (BTC USD) surges above $82,000 after major US crypto bill clears senate committee vote - here's what traders need to know about the Clarity Act

US crypto regulation bill Clarity Act explained: The Clarity Act, a significant US crypto market structure bill, advanced out of the Senate Banking Committee with bipartisan support. This development aims to clarify digital asset regulation by assigning oversight to the CFTC and SEC, potentially boosting institutional participation. Bitcoin saw a…

The Economic Times

Senate CLARITY Act vote today: Can Congress finally end SEC crypto chaos with historic U.S. crypto regulation bill?

The CLARITY Act markup vote, scheduled for May 14, 2026, marks the most significant Senate action on crypto market structure in U.S. history. The Senate Banking Committee debates over 100 amendments before deciding whether to advance the 309-page Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act to the full Senate floor. The White…

The Economic Times

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Campaign staffers making ‘thousands’ betting on their own candidates using insider information, report says

Political employees say practice is increasingly commonplace as regulators struggle to keep pace

The Independent UK

The Federal Government Once Tried To Restrict Prediction Markets. Now It's Suing States To Save Them.

In a bid to “reaffirm its exclusive jurisdiction” over prediction markets such as Kalshi, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission is suing six states for interfering in federally regulated financial markets.

Reason

What Can the CFTC Do About It?

There are more calls for the CFTC to step in and start regulating all the new "trading" (aka gambling) taking place in markets these days. The problem is the Commission's hands are tied.

Barchart

SEON CEO: Prediction markets can forecast the future. Can they survive their own manipulation problem?

The prediction markets supercycle has outpaced its regulatory infrastructure — and the next 12 months of CFTC rulemaking will determine

Fortune

Dan Patrick eyes closing “gambling loophole” for prediction markets. The feds stand in Texas’ way.

A Trump administration agency has sued other states that sought to regulate Kalshi, Polymarket and other prediction operations under their gambling laws.

The Texas Tribune

Prediction markets under pressure to crack down on rogue bettors and stop insider trading

A soldier betting on an operation to oust Venezuela’s leader

The Independent UK

U.S. special forces soldier arrested over Polymarket bets on Maduro raid

This appears to be the first prosecution for alleged insider trading on a prediction market.

Axios

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The Guardian - US

John Oliver on prediction markets: ‘Betting on war is really dark’

The Last Week Tonight host dug into the rapidly expanding, poorly regulated free-for-all of ‘prediction markets’ like Kalshi and Polymarket

Fortune

Kalshi’s fight over sports betting is hurtling toward the Supreme Court—and the future of gambling is at stake

Kalshi is in a make-or-break fight to preserve a lucrative new prediction markets industry, expected to grow to over $200 billion this year.

The Guardian - US

Traders placed over $1bn in perfectly timed bets on the Iran war. What is going on?

Suspicious wagers on the US-Israel war in Iran are creating huge windfalls and raising concerns among lawmakers

Roll Call

Betting against political prediction markets

The rise of political prediction markets and several well-timed trades have spurred lawmakers to introduce multiple bills aimed at stopping or regulating insider trading in prediction markets. But lawmakers are far from agreeing on how far to extend such bans. “Members of Congress should be prohibited from participating in prediction…

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Roll Call

CFTC bucks trend, seeks more money from Congress and proposes fees

In a time of budget austerity for most Trump administration agencies, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission stands apart as a regulator that is asking Congress for more money. The CFTC is requesting $410 million for fiscal 2027, an increase of $45 million, or 12 percent, from its enacted fiscal 2026 level.…

The Independent UK

Prediction markets are back the spotlight, this time because of the war in Iran

Prediction markets let people wager on anything from a basketball game to the outcome of a presidential election — and recently, even the fate of the U.S. and Israel’s war against Iran

The Guardian - US

US government sues Illinois, alleging unlawful efforts to regulate prediction markets

Booming prediction market sites, such as Kalshi and Polymarket, face scrutiny from states and Congress

Fortune

New top federal enforcer has his sights set on ending insider trading in prediction markets

“We will aggressively detect, investigate, and where appropriate, prosecute insider trading in the prediction markets,” said CFTC director of enforcement David Miller.

Barchart

Flutter Stock Could Be a Big Winner as Lawmakers Zero In on Prediction Markets. Should You Buy FLUT Here?

Flutter's stock is surging on strong results, but a new bipartisan bill targeting prediction markets could shake up FLUT's boldest growth bet. Here's what investors need to know.

Barchart

Hogs Mixed at Midday

Lean hog futures are mixed at midday, with most contracts within 30 cents of unchanged. USDA’s national base hog price was not reported on Monday morning due to light volume. The CME Lean Hog Index was back down 9 cents on March 19 at $91.95. Friday’s CFTC Commitment of Traders...

The Independent UK

Move to ban sports betting on prediction sites sees bipartisan support

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