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The Latest Breaking News from Allan Lichtman

‘Nostradamus’ pollster gets into fiery exchange with host over his election prediction flop

A discussion between US pollsters descended into a shouting match on Tuesday, with historian Allan Lichtman – known as the “Nostradamus” of polling – accusing progressive commentator Cenk Uygur of taking “cheap shots” and making “personal attacks.

The Independent UK

The ‘foolproof’ election forecaster who predicted Trump would lose – what went wrong?

Allan Lichtman’s forecast model was meant to be foolproof. He explains to David Smith what was different this time

The Guardian - US

Election ‘Nostradamus’ blames incorrect prediction on Elon Musk and ‘explosion’ of disinformation

Since Trump claimed victory last week, Allan Lichtman acknowledged he was wrong about his Harris prediction and would reassess his method

The Independent UK

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Election Forecaster Who Gave Win to Kamala Harris Blames Elon Musk for Inaccurate Prediction: He Put 'His Thumb on the Scales'

Presidential historian Allan Lichtman cited Elon Musk's influence on social media as a key reason he incorrectly forecasted a Kamala Harris victory.

Latin Times

Famous Forecaster Hit with Death Threats, Break-Ins After Calling Election for Kamala: 'We Will Not Be Bullied'

Allan Lichtman said that he and his family have since become the repeated target of threats after he incorrectly predicted that Harris would beat Trump.

Latin Times

US election results: How did opinion polls undercount Trump voters again?

It’s the third consecutive election in which opinion polls have underestimated Trump’s support.

Al Jazeera

Ann Selzer explains why her very wrong Iowa poll may have helped Trump

Numerous prominent pre-election forecasts missed result as Trump swept to victory

The Independent UK

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Battle of the pollsters: ‘Nostradamus’ bashes rival after both election predictions flopped

Across the board, pollsters failed to predict Trump would win by a comfortable margin

The Independent UK

US pollsters taking heat – again – for failing to predict Trump triumph

Polling experts called on to explain surveys that showed Trump and Harris deadlocked in a race deemed too close to call

The Guardian - US

Famous Election Forecaster Brutally Mocked for Horrible Kamala Victory Prediction: 'Moo Deng Was More Accurate'

Social media users have taken to the internet to deride historian and American University professor Allan Lichtman after his predictions surrounding the 2024 elections turned out to be inaccurate.

Latin Times

Polling ‘Nostradamus’ says early returns are ‘scary’ for his prediction of a Harris win

During an online stream on Tuesday night, Allan Lichtman and his son provided live updates as early counts showed gains for Donald Trump

The Independent UK

Election ‘Nostradamus’ says October surprise is a myth and backs Harris prediction

“The biggest myth in American politics is the so-called October surprise. I’ve always issued my predictions before then, and never change them,” Allan Lichtman said.

Fortune

Election Forecaster Who Famously Predicted Trump Would Win in 2016 Says Kamala Will Be the Next President

Renowned election forecaster Allan Lichtman insists that Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election against Donald Trump.

Latin Times

‘Nostradamus’ of presidential races reveals why there’s ‘more election anxiety this year than ever’ before

In his latest broadcast, Allan Lichtman urges viewers to ‘ignore the polls’ and keep the faith in his method

The Independent UK

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Fortune

The 'fundamentals' say Harris should win, but the 'technicals' show a big lead for Trump say two leading election watchers

In presidential elections, fundamental and technical analysis are also the two leading methods for handicapping the outcome.

Evening Standard

Nostradamus pollster reveals his latest 2024 prediction for the American election

“I have never experienced anything close to the hate that has been reaped upon me this time,” the pollster said

Fortune

Prominent data scientist gives election odds: Trump leads, but Harris is gaining

Thomas Miller, a data scientist and professor at Northwestern University, says the 2024 presidential race has whipsawed over the past several weeks.

The Independent UK

Nostradamus pollster reveals latest 2024 prediction – and how he’s never had ‘so much hate’ in an election

Despite the polls, Allan Lichtman stands by his prediction from September that Harris will beat Trump

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The Guardian - UK

Harris and Trump are tied in the polls – so I conducted my own less traditional research

The latest survey shows the presidential candidates are neck and neck. But a trip around my neighbourhood suggests good news for Harris and possibly for giant meteors, writes Arwa Mahdawi

The Independent UK

Nostradamus pollster predicts how an October surprise could impact election

Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted the result of nine out of 10 presidential elections since 1984

The Guardian - US

‘Undisciplined, unhinged and deranged’: will Trump’s strange behavior hurt him at the polls?

While he’s always been quick to insult, he’s now frequently vicious, and his speeches are increasingly disjointed

The Independent UK

‘Nostradamus’ pollster reveals who won VP debate between Walz and Vance

Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted the result of nine of out 10 presidential elections since 1984

The Guardian - UK

‘I’m not sure what to trust’: a student navigates the news in the age of social media

With more people getting their news online than on TV, Ben Herd, 20, records his experience of following current affairs

International Business Times

Two Insistent Predictions In The 2024 Presidential Race, Two Different Winners

Nate Silver says Donald Trump appears to be pulling ahead, while Allan Lichtman predicts victory for Kamala Harris

The Guardian - US

Dick Cheney confirms he will vote for Kamala Harris, saying no ‘greater threat’ to US than Donald Trump – as it happened

Former vice-president confirms he will vote for Democratic nominee and condemns ex-president’s attempt to ‘steal the last election’ This blog is now closed.

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