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Fortune

Shawn Tully

Prominent data scientist gives election odds: Trump leads, but Harris is gaining

Donald Trump Thomas Miller Kamala Harris John F Kelly Allan Lichtman Joe Biden Northwestern University Republican Party PredictIt

(Credit: Bridget Bennett—The Washington Post via Getty Images)

Just two days ago, it appeared that President Trump was cruising towards a big win on November 5. But in a twist, his former chief of staff John F. Kelly unleashed a scalding critique of his former boss that suddenly reversed Kamala Harris' month-long descent. But is the Kelly bombshell—and maybe more late-breaking good news for her campaign—too little, too late to save the VP?

According to noted data scientist Thomas Miller, that's the unsteady state of the 2024 presidential race with twelve days to go.

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