The Latest Breaking News from Redbridge

Labor leads in two Victorian state polls, but Premier Jacinta Allan’s approval tanks

Labor leads in Victorian state polls by Newspoll and Redbridge, but Premier Jacinta Allan is very unpopular. Two federal polls give Labor big leads and a Tasmanian poll suggests Tasmanians would support Labor seeking to form a government with the Greens and independents.

The Conversation · Jul 10, 2025

Final counting shows polls understated Labor in 2025 election almost as much as they overstated it in 2019

With almost all primary votes now counted to two-party preferred (as I explained on May 29), Labor has won the national two-party vote by a 55.3–44.7 margin, although this may drop to a 55.2–44.8 margin once the remaining votes from Bradfield come in.

The Conversation · Jun 5, 2025

The polls were off in Australia’s election – but it’s the uniformity that has experts really asking questions

While there is growing transparency in the industry, issues such as sample sourcing, response rates and weighting still present challenges

The Guardian - AU · May 7, 2025

The trend is in, but Australian voters’ views are soft and fragmented – how should we read the polls?

After the 2019 election result confounded the polling, research companies went back to the drawing board. But a changing electorate poses ever knottier challenges

The Guardian - AU · Apr 16, 2025

Newspoll steady but Albanese’s ratings jump; swing to Labor in marginal seats

A national Newspoll, conducted April 7–10 from a sample of 1,271, gave Labor a 52–48 lead, unchanged since the March 31 to April 4 Newspoll. Primary votes were 35% Coalition (down one), 33% Labor (steady), 12% Greens (steady), 8% One Nation (up one) and 12% for all Others (steady).

The Conversation · Apr 13, 2025

Labor gains 5-point lead in a YouGov poll, taken during Trump tariff chaos

A national YouGov poll, conducted April 4–10 from a sample of 1,505, gave Labor a 52.5–47.5 lead, a 1.5-point gain for Labor since the March 28 to April 3 YouGov poll. This is Labor’s best result in YouGov for 18 months, and slightly better for Labor than the 2022 election…

The Conversation · Apr 10, 2025

'I'm a fighter': premier to box on after 'grim' polling

Jacinta Allan is wearing the unwanted crown of Australia's most unpopular leader, with polling suggesting she could be a drag on Labor's federal election hopes.

AAP · Apr 10, 2025

Labor gains 52–48 lead in Newspoll and Redbridge as poll trend to Labor continues

A national Newspoll, conducted March 31 to April 4 from a sample of 1,250, gave Labor a 52–48 lead, a one-point gain for Labor since the March 27–29 post-budget Newspoll. This is Labor’s biggest lead in Newspoll since May 2024. This poll was mostly taken before Donald Trump’s tariff announcement…

The Conversation · Apr 6, 2025

Labor gains lead in post-budget Newspoll; would be one seat short of majority in YouGov MRP poll

Labor’s regaining of polling momentum has continued into the first week of the formal election campaign. A national Newspoll, conducted March 27–29 from a sample of 1,249, gave Labor a 51–49 lead, a two-point gain for Labor since the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago. This is Labor’s first Newspoll lead…

The Conversation · Mar 30, 2025

Labor gains big lead in a Morgan poll, but drops back in YouGov

A national Morgan poll, conducted March 10–16 from a sample of 2,097, gave Labor a 54.5–45.5 lead by headline respondent preferences, a three-point gain for Labor since the March 3–9 Morgan poll. This is Labor’s largest lead in a Morgan poll since August 2023.

The Conversation · Mar 23, 2025