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The Guardian - AU
The Guardian - AU
National
Tory Shepherd

The trend is in, but Australian voters’ views are soft and fragmented – how should we read the polls?

Anthony Albanese and Peter Dutton
A graphic illustration shows the trend in net satisfaction ratings of the prime minister, Anthony Albanese, and the opposition leader, Peter Dutton, based on YouGov polling data from a survey conducted April 4-10. Photograph: AAP Image/AAP

Anyone watching the polls during the Australian election campaign – which, let’s face it, is everyone – might be tempted to conclude that the trend is so strong in Labor’s direction that there is no way the Coalition can win.

But the pollsters themselves warn that one factor should make observers more cautious than usual in interpreting the numbers, namely that the 2025 election has the largest number of undecided and soft voters Australia has ever contended with.

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