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The Latest Breaking News from Recession

‘Recession may have begun’ as UK economy shrinks by 0.5% in July, GDP figures show

Government minister Maria Caulfield conceded that the decline in GDP was “disappointing”

Evening Standard

KISS for the Stock Market

Investment veteran Steve Reitmeister does his level best to simplify todays stock market picture to discuss when stocks will be ready to break above 4,600 for the S&P 500 (SPY). And what stocks will lead the way to outperformance. Read on for the full story below.

StockNews.com

UK interest rates: will the Bank listen to business and halt the rises?

Soaring pay growth puts pressure on the Bank to act again, but a slowing economy could tip into recession

The Guardian - UK

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Recession to end but Govt surplus delayed a year

The pre-election forecasts offer a rosier picture of the economy, with wages growing ahead of inflation, but tougher times for the Government’s own books.

Newsroom.co.nz

Wegovy: the slimming drug that keeps Denmark’s economy growing

Novo Nordisk, the maker of the blockbuster obesity injection, has singlehandedly saved the country from recession

The Guardian - UK

‘The death of this economy was greatly exaggerated’: Initial jobless claims just fell to their lowest level since February, increasing the odds of a soft landing

Strong initial claims data is evidence that a recession in 2023 is looking less likely, many economists say.

Fortune

UK house prices tumble 4.6% in year to August; pound at lowest since June – as it happened

UK house prices are falling at fastest pace since 2009 on annual basis, reports Halifax, down in every region

The Guardian - UK

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Australia’s economy has got smaller on a per capita basis – like it did in the GFC and 1990s recession. So, you know, not good

We now have GDP that is growing only due to population growth and even then only due to government spending

The Guardian - AU

Pound hits three-month low as Bank of England governor predicts ‘quite marked’ fall in inflation – as it happened

Governor Andrew Bailey tells MPs that BoE is “much nearer” to ending its run of interest rates increases

The Guardian - UK

The odds of a recession are now just 15% because fading inflation and a strong labor market are changing the equation, Goldman Sachs says

Positive inflation and labor data has prompted Goldman Sachs' chief economist to rethink the probability of a recession in the next 12 months.

Fortune

London is a major reason for the UK's inequality problem. Unfortunately, City leaders don't want to talk about it

In recent years, there has been growing evidence that the UK economy is in poor shape. While the latest economic figures suggest it performed better as the COVID pandemic receded than was previously reported, the performance of sectors such as manufacturing, construction and agriculture has been revised downwards, leading some…

The Conversation

UK’s growth is a silver lining – and the clouds suggest recession looms

The chancellor says the economy is resilient but forward-looking indicators suggest otherwise

The Guardian - UK

Are your parkrun times getting slower? Just blame it on the economy

Research into the Saturday 5k events reveals the over-50s run faster in recessions

The Guardian - UK

Jobs are up, wages less so – and lower purchasing power could still lead the US into a recession

Don’t be overly fooled by seemingly rosy jobs data heading into the Labor Day weekend.

The Conversation

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The Guardian - UK

UK on recession alert after big falls in factory output and house prices

Signs of distress from very different parts of economy will add to Bank of England’s dilemma over interest rates

The Guardian - UK

Central banks will push economies into recession, says Hunt adviser

Signs of weakness needed before monetary policy is eased in west, says strategist advising chancellor

Fortune

A recession might have been simpler than what awaits the U.S. economy

The Fed tamed inflation without also sparking a recession, but dangers still loom.

Barchart

Should You Buy the Dip on This Luxury Retail Stock?

LVMH stock just corrected, but the pains could intensify as the typically resilient luxury goods firm feels the heat of a downturn among aspirational consumers.

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StockNews.com

Are Carnival (CCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Worth Investing in Despite Solid Growth and Momentum?

The cruise industry might remain under pressure amid elevated interest rates and lingering recession fears. Therefore, cruise line stocks Carnival Corporation (CCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) might be best avoided despite solid growth and momentum. Read on.

Fortune

We gave 2 groups of American voters opposite scenarios for the U.S. economy and asked them about the culture wars. No one cared about ‘wokeness’ in case of a recession

If the economy stays strong, Democrats are poised to meet Americans where they are. If not, Republicans can't continue to talk about woke when we are broke.

The Independent UK

Hopeful signs of an economic 'soft landing' emerge in Jackson Hole as Fed meets with world watching

Business these days in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, is still good — just not as robust as it was after the U.S. economy roared out of the pandemic recession

The Guardian - UK

UK on recession alert amid slump in private sector activity

Poor performance in services industry and manufacturing is mirrored in eurozone

The National (Scotland)

UK facing 'heightened recession risks' as private sector suffers shock decline

AN economist has warned the UK is facing “heightened recession risks” after the private sector suffered a shock downturn in August.

The Independent UK

Recession fears grow as UK business activity shrinks

August sees a sharp downturn – one of the ‘steepest contractions’ since the 2008 global financial crisis

Evening Standard

Recession fears grow and interest rate expectations decline after surprise slump in output

Upon seeing the data, City markets immediately discounted the likelihood of a half-point ‘jumbo hike’ from the Bank of England next month

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