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The Latest Breaking News from Recession

The Yield Curve is Inverted, When Does the Recession Begin?

Recessions can be challenging to predict, and experts use economic data and trends to make informed judgments about when a recession has begun or is likely to occur. But why predict when a consistent pattern ultimately illustrates when a recession starts?

Barchart

Morgan Stanley’s chief investor says the market is stuck in ‘purgatory’ as everyone awaits a recession or rebound in growth

Mike Wilson fears that investors have become overly optimistic after so many 'erroneous' recession predictions, and more stock market pain is coming.

Fortune

Experts Downplay Immediate Recession Risk Amid Potential Government Shutdown

Short-term impact expected, but prolonged shutdown could dampen growth and hinder Biden's re-election chances

Zenger

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Deutsche Bank studied 34 past U.S. recessions to identify key warning signs and found that all 4 are flashing red right now

Based on a study of the U.S. economy since 1854, Deutsche Bank created “hit ratios” that show how often key macroeconomic triggers have caused recessions.

Fortune

3 Recession-Proof Stocks to Buy Now

Some recent economic data points have revived recession fears, sending equities sharply lower this September. Here are 3 recession-proof stocks that conservative investors can consider now.

Barchart

The economist who’s been predicting a recession for 18 months says the ‘litmus test’ is finally here, especially with oil headed toward $100 a barrel

David Rosenberg said the current situation with the economy is like trying to cancel winter just because it didn’t snow in December. “It hasn’t materialized, dot dot dot, yet.”

Fortune

Why central banks should stop raising interest rates

Mortgage borrowers breathed a sign of relief following a recent pause in the Bank of England’s 14-month campaign of base rate hikes.

The Conversation

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How Low Will Stocks Go?

The Fed threw some gasoline on the stock sell off fire last week. With that stocks are exploring new lows with the 200 day moving average in play at 4,195 for the S&P 500 (SPY). Is it time to buy stocks...or run for cover? 43 year investment veteran Steve Reitmeister…

StockNews.com

UK’s political short-termism is killing hopes of business investment

Without economic stability the country is likely to be left without solid foundations for recovery

The Guardian - UK

Zombie Britain sees zero growth – and that’s the good news

Some surveys predict recession, but with pay and confidence rising, they may be wrong. That’s the best we, and the PM, can hope for

The Guardian - UK

UK recession risk grows as higher interest rates weigh on firms

Service sector and manufacturing output falls, with cost of living crisis also hitting businesses

The Guardian - UK

Recession ‘more likely’ as key gauge misses expectations

The private sector looks set to shrink again, according to preliminary data from an influential survey.

The Independent UK

Stock Alert: Just Another BUY THE DIP Opportunity

Traders threw a tantrum after the Fed shared details on their rate hike plans. This has the S&P 500 (SPY) hitting the lowest level in quite a while. Gladly, things are not as dire as they seem. That is why Steve Reitmeister shares his latest insights to explain why a…

StockNews.com

Recession or not, New Zealand GDP growing again

New Zealand enjoyed a return to solid growth in the June quarter, with Stats NZ reporting an 0.9 increase, well beyond market expectations.

AAP

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The Independent UK

What will Federal Reserve do next? Any hint of future rate hikes will be key focus of latest meeting

The Federal Reserve is set to leave its key interest rate unchanged Wednesday as it seeks to guide the U.S. economy toward a “soft landing” of cooling inflation without triggering a deep recession

AAP

New Zealand set to exit recession with low growth

Market expectation for gross domestic product growth in New Zealand is 0.5 per cent for the second quarter of the year.

Fortune

Top analyst Ed Yardeni raises the odds of recession to 25% citing oil prices rising to $94 and a potential repeat of 1970s-style stagflation

If oil prices rise to and remain above $100 per barrel, Yardeni fears we could see a repeat of the inflationary 1970s.

StockNews.com

Why the Bull Market is Still in Charge?

It’s been nearly 2 months that the S&P 500 (SPY) has been mired in a trading range. That is why investment veteran Steve Reitmeister shares his latest insights to explain why a bull market is still in place...and how to target the best stocks and ETFs for the days ahead.…

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Barchart

Will the FOMC Raise Interest Rates One Last Time this Year?

The markets are unanimously expecting the FOMC at its 2-day meeting that begins today to leave its funds rate target range unchanged at 5.25%/5.50%. However, the markets are still on guard for one last rate hike this year. Specifically, the markets are discounting the odds at 29% that the FOMC...

The Independent UK

Stock market today: Asian shares weaker ahead of Federal Reserve interest rate decision

Asian shares are mostly weaker in cautious trading ahead of the Federal Reserve’s looming decision on interest rates

Fortune

Wall Street’s Dr. Doom is sounding downright sunny as he predicts a 'short and shallow’ recession or even no recession at all instead of the epic collapse he saw in 2022

Nouriel Roubini saw a “variant of another Great Depression” less than a year ago, but now he’s open to a soft landing without any recession at all.

The Guardian - US

Does Wile E Coyote explain US voters’ gloom amid buoyant economy?

Official figures point to an impressive recovery but many Americans don’t feel that way. Is the economy heading for a fall?

Fortune

What if Jerome Powell pulled off a soft landing and nobody noticed? It's the economy's Groundhog Day

Economists are seeing shadows.

StockNews.com

The ODD Story Behind Thursday’s BIG Stock Rally

We have all been worried about what high inflation will do to the economy and stock market. And yet on Thursday inflation spiked again, yet amazingly the S&P 500 (SPY) had a great session. Investment veteran Steve Reitmeister shares the reasons why in his new market outlook with trading plan…

WEKU

What a crop of upcoming IPOs from Birkenstock to Instacart tells us about the economy

A crop of IPOs are coming, starting with chip designer Arm, which is making its debut on Thursday. It's another sign of confidence in markets — and the U.S. economy.

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