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Fortune
Fortune
Will Daniel

The economist who’s been predicting a recession for 18 months says the ‘litmus test’ is finally here, especially with oil headed toward $100 a barrel

NYSE broker (Credit: Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

With the U.S. facing a series of economic headwinds, from union strikes and the resumption of student loan payments to rising oil prices and sky-high mortgage rates, economist David Rosenberg believes a recession is all but guaranteed. 

Of course, the president of the market analysis and investment strategy firm Rosenberg Research has also been predicting an economic downturn for some time. In March 2022, just after the Federal Reserve began hiking interest rates to fight the rise of inflation, he warned that there was a 75% chance of the U.S. experiencing a recession by the end of the year. 

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