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The Latest Breaking News from Recession

Top analyst Ed Yardeni raises the odds of recession to 25% citing oil prices rising to $94 and a potential repeat of 1970s-style stagflation

If oil prices rise to and remain above $100 per barrel, Yardeni fears we could see a repeat of the inflationary 1970s.

Fortune

Why the Bull Market is Still in Charge?

It’s been nearly 2 months that the S&P 500 (SPY) has been mired in a trading range. That is why investment veteran Steve Reitmeister shares his latest insights to explain why a bull market is still in place...and how to target the best stocks and ETFs for the days ahead.…

StockNews.com

Will the FOMC Raise Interest Rates One Last Time this Year?

The markets are unanimously expecting the FOMC at its 2-day meeting that begins today to leave its funds rate target range unchanged at 5.25%/5.50%. However, the markets are still on guard for one last rate hike this year. Specifically, the markets are discounting the odds at 29% that the FOMC...

Barchart

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Stock market today: Asian shares weaker ahead of Federal Reserve interest rate decision

Asian shares are mostly weaker in cautious trading ahead of the Federal Reserve’s looming decision on interest rates

The Independent UK

Wall Street’s Dr. Doom is sounding downright sunny as he predicts a 'short and shallow’ recession or even no recession at all instead of the epic collapse he saw in 2022

Nouriel Roubini saw a “variant of another Great Depression” less than a year ago, but now he’s open to a soft landing without any recession at all.

Fortune

Does Wile E Coyote explain US voters’ gloom amid buoyant economy?

Official figures point to an impressive recovery but many Americans don’t feel that way. Is the economy heading for a fall?

The Guardian - US

What if Jerome Powell pulled off a soft landing and nobody noticed? It's the economy's Groundhog Day

Economists are seeing shadows.

Fortune

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The ODD Story Behind Thursday’s BIG Stock Rally

We have all been worried about what high inflation will do to the economy and stock market. And yet on Thursday inflation spiked again, yet amazingly the S&P 500 (SPY) had a great session. Investment veteran Steve Reitmeister shares the reasons why in his new market outlook with trading plan…

StockNews.com

What a crop of upcoming IPOs from Birkenstock to Instacart tells us about the economy

A crop of IPOs are coming, starting with chip designer Arm, which is making its debut on Thursday. It's another sign of confidence in markets — and the U.S. economy.

WEKU

Europe's central bank faces close call on interest rates as threat of recession grows

The European Central Bank is deciding whether to raise interest rates again or not, and analysts are saying it's a close call

The Independent UK

Buy This Boring Dividend Stock Now, While Recession Odds Are Low

Consumer staples stocks, like Mondelez and General Mills, have been punished by investors as analysts lighten up their recession forecasts. For savvy investors, this could be an opportunity to load up on portfolio protection.

Barchart

OPINION - The next recession may have already begun

If the UK economy soon slips into recession, we will likely gesture vaguely at summer – such as it was – for when the contraction began. GDP shrank by 0.5 per cent in July, the sharpest decline since December, with services, production and construction all shrinking.

Evening Standard

Recession 'can't be ruled out' as UK economy shrinks at quickest pace in seven months

THERE are renewed concerns that the UK could be facing a recession as the latest figures show the

The National (Scotland)

Recession fears as UK economy shrinks by more than expected in shock decline

Summer washout hits retail and construction sectors – but chancellor insists there are ‘reasons to be confident’

The Independent UK

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Evening Standard

‘Recession may have begun’ as UK economy shrinks by 0.5% in July, GDP figures show

Government minister Maria Caulfield conceded that the decline in GDP was “disappointing”

StockNews.com

KISS for the Stock Market

Investment veteran Steve Reitmeister does his level best to simplify todays stock market picture to discuss when stocks will be ready to break above 4,600 for the S&P 500 (SPY). And what stocks will lead the way to outperformance. Read on for the full story below.

The Guardian - UK

UK interest rates: will the Bank listen to business and halt the rises?

Soaring pay growth puts pressure on the Bank to act again, but a slowing economy could tip into recession

Newsroom.co.nz

Recession to end but Govt surplus delayed a year

The pre-election forecasts offer a rosier picture of the economy, with wages growing ahead of inflation, but tougher times for the Government’s own books.

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The Guardian - UK

Wegovy: the slimming drug that keeps Denmark’s economy growing

Novo Nordisk, the maker of the blockbuster obesity injection, has singlehandedly saved the country from recession

Fortune

‘The death of this economy was greatly exaggerated’: Initial jobless claims just fell to their lowest level since February, increasing the odds of a soft landing

Strong initial claims data is evidence that a recession in 2023 is looking less likely, many economists say.

The Guardian - UK

UK house prices tumble 4.6% in year to August; pound at lowest since June – as it happened

UK house prices are falling at fastest pace since 2009 on annual basis, reports Halifax, down in every region

The Guardian - AU

Australia’s economy has got smaller on a per capita basis – like it did in the GFC and 1990s recession. So, you know, not good

We now have GDP that is growing only due to population growth and even then only due to government spending

The Guardian - UK

Pound hits three-month low as Bank of England governor predicts ‘quite marked’ fall in inflation – as it happened

Governor Andrew Bailey tells MPs that BoE is “much nearer” to ending its run of interest rates increases

Fortune

The odds of a recession are now just 15% because fading inflation and a strong labor market are changing the equation, Goldman Sachs says

Positive inflation and labor data has prompted Goldman Sachs' chief economist to rethink the probability of a recession in the next 12 months.

The Conversation

London is a major reason for the UK's inequality problem. Unfortunately, City leaders don't want to talk about it

In recent years, there has been growing evidence that the UK economy is in poor shape. While the latest economic figures suggest it performed better as the COVID pandemic receded than was previously reported, the performance of sectors such as manufacturing, construction and agriculture has been revised downwards, leading some…

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