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The Latest Breaking News from Jan Hatzius

Wall Street is on tenterhooks over the Fed’s ‘rare, genuinely suspenseful’ December meeting, because the committee itself doesn’t know what to make of the data—or of one another

A divided Fed meets amid mixed jobs and inflation signals, leaving Chair Jerome Powell with a suspenseful December.

Fortune

A December Rate Cut Coming? Goldman Tells Investors To Buy The Dip

Goldman Sachs is doubling down on its call for a December rate cut as labor market cracks widen, urging investors to stay overweight equities and buy market dips ahead of further policy easing in 2026.

Benzinga

This is the worst the jobs market has looked (outside of a recession) in 50 years, says Goldman Sachs, meaning bullish GDP estimates are overly optimistic

Jan Hatzius warns America’s job market slump could drag down growth, with front-loaded orders and AI disruption skewing GDP signals.

Fortune

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Sorry Jerome, weakening economic data is 'exactly what markets needed', says Wharton professor

Jerome Powell’s Fed faces labor market weakness as Wall Street bets on rate cuts, with Jeremy Siegel and Goldman Sachs backing easing ahead.

Fortune

Goldman Sachs doubles down on tariff research that infuriated Trump, saying average Americans will bear two-thirds of the costs

“We stand by the results of this study,” Goldman economist David Mericle told CNBC’s Squawk on the Street on Wednesday.

Fortune

'Maybe, he ought to just focus on being a DJ': Trump rips Goldman Sachs CEO

Trump insisted "Trillions of Dollars are being taken in on Tariffs.” Several sources calculate the trillion-dollar mark to be years away.

Fortune

September Fed Rate Cut? Goldman, JPMorgan Make The Same Call

Economic tremors ripple across financial markets as shifting global dynamics push major banks to alter their interest rate forecasts. J.P. Morgan now expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September meeting, moving up its forecast from December.

Benzinga

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Another Fed Official Backs A Rate Cut—Goldman Sees Trouble Ahead If The Fed Waits

The July Federal Reserve meeting may go down as the most divided in over three decades, as two key board members, Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, broke ranks by voting for a rate cut, while Chair Jerome Powell and the majority held rates steady.

Benzinga

Recession Talk Heats Up After Jobs Data—But Corporate America Says Otherwise

A shockingly soft labor report reignited Wall Street's recession fears, but Corporate America might be telling an entirely different story—one that shows signs of strength not seen in years.

Benzinga

Dow Rises 585 Points on Rate Cut Hope: Stock Market Today

Stocks moved more than 1% again Monday, this time to the upside following the Jobs Friday sell-off.

Kiplinger

Scott Bessent Once Called Tariffs As 'Dog That Didn't Bark,' Now Wall Street Analysts Predict A Less Dramatic 'One-Time' Inflation Hike As August 1 Deadline Nears

The looming deadline for President Donald Trump‘s tariffs has sparked a shift in Wall Street’s predictions. Analysts are now projecting a more moderate increase in inflation, a departure from earlier fears of a significant surge.

Benzinga

Tariffs are beginning to look like the ‘dog that didn’t bark’ to Wall Street, with inflation expected to take a one-time hit and Trump unlikely to enforce letter threats

As markets shrug off the Aug. 1 deadline, analysts warn that investor calm could embolden the White House to follow through—especially if economic data remains strong.

Fortune

How much is AI really replacing jobs? Goldman Sachs looks under the hood and has 3 takeaways to defuse the hype

"There is no sign of a significant impact on most labor market outcomes," chief economist Jan Hatzius writes. But the shift is real.

Fortune

The college degree 'safety premium' is almost gone—but mainly because so many non-grads have given up looking for work

In 2025, the job-finding rate for college grads is just 0.9 percentage points higher than for non-degree holders, Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius found.

Fortune

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Fortune

Goldman Sachs expects China tariffs to drop soon. But the bank still puts the chance of a recession at 45%

Although “the mood music with China has improved,” the bank’s chief economist still expects other tariffs increases—and sees “a meaningful risk that some of the paused ‘reciprocal’ tariffs will take effect after all.”

Kiplinger

How Trump's First 100 Days Have Impacted Your Portfolio

President Trump's first 100 days in office have been busy, with a flurry of executive orders sparking volatility in the stock and bond markets.

Euronews

Wall Street sinks into bear market as Trump tariffs spark global rout

Wall Street eyes bear market territory as Trump’s tariffs triggered a global selloff. The S&P 500 is projected to drop over 20% from February highs, fuelling recession fears among experts.

Fortune

Goldman Sachs’ chief economist just downgraded the entire U.S. economy as Trump’s latest tariff salvo rattles markets

The storied investment bank has forecast GDP growth to come in below Wall Street’s consensus for the first time in 2½ years.

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Kiplinger

Stock Market Today: Dow Off 890 Points on Tariff Uncertainty

President Donald Trump still believes his ever-evolving plan for global trade will be "great for us," but "it takes a little time."

Fortune

Markets are finally believing Fed chair Jerome Powell will pull off his soft landing

"The general direction of U.S. employment signals an economy very far from 'recession,'" wrote UBS chief economist Paul Donovan.

International Business Times

Goldman Sachs Lowers US Recession Probability To 20% On Strong Economic Data

The adjustment comes after the investment bank had previously raised the odds from 15% earlier this month.

Fortune

Goldman Sachs's Jan Hatzius: Markets humble analysts by proving them wrong

"It’s been a humbling five years for economic forecasters, with three big errors in consensus forecasts."

The Independent UK

Experts are warning of a global recession. Here’s what that actually means

While warning about a 25 percent chance of an economic downturn, Goldman Sachs said the US economy remains “fine overall,” and that the recession risk is “limited”

Kiplinger

Stock Market Today: Stocks Fall After Fed Official Says There's No Need to Rush Rate Cuts

Markets didn't like Fedspeak that downplayed the need for speedy rate cuts.

Fortune

Welcome to the era of 'normalization': Why Wall Street is convinced consumers will get comfortable with some economic pains in 2024

Taking a look across the outlooks for next year, there's one word that stands out from Wall Street. "Normal."

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