- Goldman Sachs’ Jan Hatzius warned that U.S. GDP estimates showing 3.8% growth in Q2 and 3.3% in Q3 may be overstated, owing to missing data from the government shutdown and weakening labor trends. He pointed to falling employment indicators and survey data signaling stagnation, arguing job market weakness offers a more accurate gauge of current growth. Hatzius also cited temporary boosts from tariff-driven stockpiling earlier this year and warned that younger workers face growing hiring challenges, particularly as AI adoption reshapes labor demand.
GDP estimates that show steady growth in the American economy may prove to be overly optimistic, Goldman Sachs warned, as a vacuum of data during the government shutdown may result in employment figures ultimately dragging down the optimistic outlook.
