The Latest Breaking News from Austan Goolsbee

As the U.S. government shutdown suspends Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data releases, including the critical September jobs report scheduled for Friday, the Chicago Fed has stepped in with a final real-time forecast, predicting a steady unemployment rate of 4.34% for September 2025, based on 11 job market indicators.

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Thursday closed up +0.06%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.17%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.37%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) rose +0.06%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

The dollar index (DXY00 ) recovered from early losses on Thursday and finished up by +0.11%. Hawkish Fed comments on Thursday sparked short covering in the dollar after Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said the Fed should be wary about additional interest rate cuts....

December S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESZ25) are up +0.14%, and December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ25) are up +0.32% this morning, buoyed by hopes for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts and optimism surrounding artificial intelligence.

Some GDP growth in the second quarter was a result of trade whiplash.

In naming Miran to the Fed’s seven-member board, President Trump has ignited a firestorm over mixing politics with economic policy.

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Wednesday closed down -0.28%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down -0.37%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down -0.31%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) fell -0.27%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Wednesday rose by +0.65% and posted a 1.5-week high. The dollar rose on Wednesday, with positive carryover from Tuesday, when Fed Chair Powell offered no hints on whether he would support a rate cut at next month's FOMC meeting, signaling that the Fed may...

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are up +0.26%, and September Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQU25) are up +0.34% this morning, pointing to a higher open on Wall Street as investors boosted their expectations for how much the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year.

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are trending up +0.18% this morning as optimism grows that the U.S. payrolls report will pave the way for the Federal Reserve to resume cutting interest rates later this month.

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are down -0.13%, and September Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQU25) are down -0.15% this morning, starting the week on a cautious note as investors await U.S. President Donald Trump’s talks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.