The Latest Breaking News from Chicago Fed

December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ25) are trending up +0.31% this morning as another round of major AI deals and partnerships boosted sentiment.

As the U.S. government shutdown suspends Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data releases, including the critical September jobs report scheduled for Friday, the Chicago Fed has stepped in with a final real-time forecast, predicting a steady unemployment rate of 4.34% for September 2025, based on 11 job market indicators.

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Thursday closed up +0.06%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.17%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.37%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) rose +0.06%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

The dollar index (DXY00 ) recovered from early losses on Thursday and finished up by +0.11%. Hawkish Fed comments on Thursday sparked short covering in the dollar after Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said the Fed should be wary about additional interest rate cuts....

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Wednesday rose by +0.65% and posted a 1.5-week high. The dollar rose on Wednesday, with positive carryover from Tuesday, when Fed Chair Powell offered no hints on whether he would support a rate cut at next month's FOMC meeting, signaling that the Fed may...

U.S. stocks traded mostly lower this morning, with the Dow Jones index falling more than 100 points on Monday.

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is up by +0.16%. The dollar is climbing today due to higher T-note yields. Also, weakness in stocks today has boosted some liquidity demand for the dollar. Gains in the dollar are limited after the Jul Chicago Fed national activity index fell more than...

A spike in producer prices introduced a "note of unease" into the Federal Reserve's outlook, according to Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee.

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) Monday closed up +0.96%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.89%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +1.06%. September E-mini S&P futures (ESU25 ) are up +0.96%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures...

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Monday fell by -0.33%. The dollar on Monday dropped from a 3-week high and turned lower on dovish Fed comments. Fed Governor Bowman and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee said they favored a Fed rate cut at next month’s FOMC meeting. Also, Monday’s rebound in...

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) Monday closed up +0.41%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.08%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.71%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM25 ) are up +0.60%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...