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The Latest Breaking News from Austan Goolsbee

Hiring data suggests an unusual economic dynamic at play

In the absence of a jobs report, the ADP report was this week's headliner.

Axios

Stocks Supported by AI Spending Boom

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.40%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.84%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.07%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) are up +0.37%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Barchart

Dollar Pressured by US Government Shutdown and Weak Services News

The dollar index (DXY00 ) today is down by -0.19%. The ongoing shutdown of the US government is bearish for the dollar as the shutdown enters its third day today. The longer the shutdown is maintained, the more likely the US economy will suffer, and GDP growth will stagnate. The...

Barchart

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Stocks Climb on Rampant AI Optimism

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.29%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up +0.45%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +0.18%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) are up +0.27%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Barchart

Nasdaq Futures Gain on AI Optimism

December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ25) are trending up +0.31% this morning as another round of major AI deals and partnerships boosted sentiment.

Barchart

BLS Data Halts, But Chicago Fed Sees Steady 4.34% Unemployment: Private Sources Flag 'Low Fire, Low Hire' Holiday Risk

As the U.S. government shutdown suspends Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data releases, including the critical September jobs report scheduled for Friday, the Chicago Fed has stepped in with a final real-time forecast, predicting a steady unemployment rate of 4.34% for September 2025, based on 11 job market indicators.

Benzinga

Stocks Settle Higher as Chip Makers and AI Infrastructure Stocks Rally

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Thursday closed up +0.06%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up +0.17%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up +0.37%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) rose +0.06%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

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Dollar Recovers on Hawkish Fed Comments

The dollar index (DXY00 ) recovered from early losses on Thursday and finished up by +0.11%. Hawkish Fed comments on Thursday sparked short covering in the dollar after Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said the Fed should be wary about additional interest rate cuts....

Barchart

Stocks Rise Before the Open on Fed Rate-Cut Hopes and AI Optimism

December S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESZ25) are up +0.14%, and December Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQZ25) are up +0.32% this morning, buoyed by hopes for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts and optimism surrounding artificial intelligence.

Barchart

Surprisingly strong GDP report undermines economic slowdown narrative

Some GDP growth in the second quarter was a result of trade whiplash.

Axios

The man Trump nominated to undermine Fed independence once wrote a scathing critique of how the Fed wasn't independent enough

In naming Miran to the Fed’s seven-member board, President Trump has ignited a firestorm over mixing politics with economic policy.

Fortune

Stocks Retreat on Higher Bond Yields

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) on Wednesday closed down -0.28%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed down -0.37%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed down -0.31%. December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25 ) fell -0.27%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures...

Barchart

Dollar Pushes Higher on Hawkish Fed and US Economic Strength

The dollar index (DXY00 ) on Wednesday rose by +0.65% and posted a 1.5-week high. The dollar rose on Wednesday, with positive carryover from Tuesday, when Fed Chair Powell offered no hints on whether he would support a rate cut at next month's FOMC meeting, signaling that the Fed may...

Barchart

Stocks Set to Open Higher as Fed Rate-Cut Expectations Rise, U.S. Inflation Data Awaited

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are up +0.26%, and September Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQU25) are up +0.34% this morning, pointing to a higher open on Wall Street as investors boosted their expectations for how much the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year.

Barchart

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S&P Futures Tick Higher With All Eyes on Key U.S. Jobs Report

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are trending up +0.18% this morning as optimism grows that the U.S. payrolls report will pave the way for the Federal Reserve to resume cutting interest rates later this month.

Barchart

Stocks Set for Muted Open as Investors Await Trump-Zelenskyy Meeting and Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are down -0.13%, and September Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQU25) are down -0.15% this morning, starting the week on a cautious note as investors await U.S. President Donald Trump’s talks with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

Benzinga

Fed's Goolsbee Shows Anxiety As Inflation Hits Non-Tariff Items

A spike in producer prices introduced a "note of unease" into the Federal Reserve's outlook, according to Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee.

The Independent UK

Inflation or jobs: Federal Reserve officials are divided over competing concerns

Federal Reserve policymakers will be debating whether stubborn inflation or slower hiring is the bigger problem for the economy as they prepare for an annual conference in Jackson, Wyoming, next week and a crucial policy meeting in September

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Barchart

Stocks Muted Before the Open With Key U.S. PPI Data in Focus

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are down -0.02%, and September Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQU25) are down -0.08% this morning, taking a breather after recent gains, while investors look ahead to crucial U.S. producer inflation data for insight into how aggressively the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates.

Fortune

Rate debate among the Fed has analysts questioning who’s ‘auditioning’ for Powell’s job already

President Trump has said he may move up the announcement of Powell's replacement, with analysts looking for public debate among FOMC members for clues as to who is "auditioning" for the role.

Barchart

Stock Index Futures Climb on Israel-Iran Truce Optimism, U.S. Economic Data and Powell’s Testimony on Tap

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are up +0.67%, and September Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQU25) are up +0.89% this morning as sentiment got a boost after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire between Israel and Iran.

Barchart

S&P Futures Tick Lower on Renewed Tariff Concerns, U.S. PCE Inflation Data in Focus

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM25) are trending down -0.17% this morning as investors grappled with fresh uncertainty surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff policies and looked ahead to the release of the Federal Reserve’s first-line inflation gauge.

Fortune

Fed's Goolsbee says it's 'not realistic' to expect business or central banks to make major decisions

Despite all the tumult in the markets, the underlying data—which comes in with a lag—suggests the economy is still faring well, Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee said.

Barchart

Stock Index Futures Gain With Focus on Trade Talks and Tesla Earnings, Fed Speak on Tap

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM25) are up +0.98%, and June Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQM25) are up +1.05% this morning, signaling a rebound from yesterday’s sell-off on Wall Street, while investors await comments from Federal Reserve officials and a raft of corporate earnings reports, with a particular focus on…

Al Jazeera

US stocks and dollar tumble as Trump renews attacks on Fed Chair Powell

S&P 500 falls 2.36 percent, while Nasdaq Composite drops 2.55 percent amid fears for central bank’s independence.

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