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The Latest Breaking News from Recession

ECB keeps interest rates steady amid eurozone recession fears

Widely expected decision by European Central Bank follows 10 consecutive rises in borrowing costs

The Guardian - UK

Lloyds Bank says UK economy improving slightly - on course to avoid recession

Lloyds Bank, Britain’s biggest high street bank, thinks the UK’s economic position is modestly improving and that the nation remains on track to avoid a recession.

Evening Standard

Bear Market Warning from the Bond Market?

The S&P 500 (SPY) is flirting with a break below the 200 day moving average. Part of the story you already know...that about the recent rapid rise in bond rates. Unfortunately there is an even more ominous part of this story that needs to be told today. That is why…

StockNews.com

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Don't set your sights too high this Christmas, we might be in recession

City Comment: There's a good chance the UK will be in or very close to recession by the time the big fellah clambers down the nations’ chimneys

Evening Standard

‘Bond King’ Bill Gross says it's time to stop betting against bonds and get ready for a economic slowdown: 'Recession in the 4th quarter'

'Bond King' Bill Gross said a recession is coming for the U.S. economy in the fourth quarter.

Fortune

UK 'skirts with recession' as private sector declines again, PMI survey finds

A recession might already be underway as the Bank of England's recent interest rate hikes slow the economy

Evening Standard

‘In tatters’: can Martin Sorrell return S4 Capital to top table of ad world?

‘Faster, cheaper, better’ digital model that helped build business into £5.2bn company has been hit hard by advertising recession

The Guardian - UK

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The most famous recession predictor of them all has been warning of a downturn—here's how you can prepare

The inverted yield curve has predicted nearly every recession in the past few decades. It’s been inverted since last year but where is the downturn?

Fortune

How the Israel-Hamas war could affect the world economy and worsen global trade tensions

Global geopolitical tensions often play a pivotal role in shaping people’s perceptions of economic growth. Research shows concern about such issues can cause people and businesses to become more cautious about spending and investing, which can ultimately lead to economic recession.

The Conversation

Israel-Hamas conflict: How high could oil prices go in worst-case war scenario?

War in the Middle East could cause the oil price to surge to $140 a barrel and bring the world to the brink of a recession, according to Ana Boata, head of economic research at Allianz Trade.

The Times of India

UK retail sector may be in recession before key Christmas sales season

Mild weather in September and cost of living crisis lead to reduction in spending

The Guardian - UK

UK high street may be 'back in recession' as retail sales fall faster than thought

Economists had expected a fall of just 0.3%, after a rise of 0.4% in August.

Evening Standard

It’s official: The housing market is turning millennials into their parents. A Fortune 500 economist says it’s a deja vu market that is replaying the 1980s

When the boomers came of homebuying age, they had to contend with high rates, high inflation, and a crowded market. Sound familiar?

Fortune

Higher pay demands might just tip us into recession

City Voices: In theory, a rise in earnings is a good sign of a healthy economy. So why all the worries about wage growth?

Evening Standard

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The Independent UK

UK economy in ‘horrible bind’ as recession looms with no room for tax cuts, say experts

Britain in for ‘protracted period of high taxes and tight spending’, says Institute for Fiscal Studies

The Independent UK

UK economy in ‘horrible’ bind with no room for tax cuts as recession looms – IFS

Britain is heading towards a recession next year as borrowing costs stay elevated, the IFS warned in its latest Green Budget.

Fortune

Long-term interest rates are spiking. Could they deliver a recession–or are they a sign of strength for the U.S. economy?

Rather than being vetoed by bond markets, policymakers are seeking higher rates–and getting what they want.

The Guardian - UK

Full force of interest rate hikes is yet to be felt, says Bank of England official

Swati Dhingra says economy has flatlined and millions of mostly young and poorer people could be affected if rates stay high

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The Guardian - UK

US inflation sticks at 3.7%; UK recession fears linger despite August growth; Ikea to cut prices – as it happened

UK services sector lifts economy back to growth in August, but BoE policymaker Swati Dhingra warns that economy is flatlining

Barchart

Worried About a Recession? Protect Your Portfolio With These 3 Resilient Stocks

With geopolitical tensions rising, here are three stocks from different sectors that have the ability to weather this storm.

USAFacts

What is a yield curve?

The yield curve is a graphical representation of the interest rates on debt for a range of maturities. It shows the relationship between the interest rate (or cost of borrowing) and the time to maturity of the debt.

Fortune

Buckle up for more ‘turbulence’ in the housing market, BofA says—it’s a housing recession, 1980s-style

“Looking back at previous housing recessions, we think the 1980s are a better analogy for today's market than the 2008 housing crash,” BofA economists said.

The Guardian - US

US economy added 336,000 jobs in September surpassing expectations

Data comes as central bank seeks to guide the US economy to ‘soft landing’ to avoid a recession

Fortune

JPMorgan’s top strategist warns stocks could be about to plummet 20%. ‘I’m not sure how we’re going to avoid’ a recession

“The upside versus downside in stocks is not that great,” according to Marko Kolanovic.

The Texas Tribune

Texas will have an $18.6 billion surplus and avoid a recession, comptroller projects

The updated comptroller’s report raises the amount of revenue available to the state over the 2024-25 cycle to $194.6 billion.

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