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The Latest Breaking News from RBA

Australian inflation jumps, adding to chances of an RBA interest rate hike

Inflation has risen further above the Reserve Bank of Australia’s 2–3% target. There is now a very real prospect the Reserve Bank will feel it needs to increase interest rates at its meeting next week, with an announcement due on Tuesday afternoon.

The Conversation

Aussie shares slip as hot inflation points to rate hike

A weaker US dollar has helped support energy and materials stocks, while narrowing bets on interest rate hikes have dragged the broader bourse lower.

AAP

Rate rise pain all but certain after inflation shock

Hotter-than-expected inflation figures have convinced analysts the Reserve Bank will lift rates as soon as next week, heaping pressure on mortgage holders.

AAP

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Key RBA concern eases ahead of crucial inflation print

An easing in capacity constraints will help soothe some worried minds at Martin Place, but hot inflation data could still force the Reserve Bank to hike rates.

AAP

All eyes on crucial data ahead of first RBA meeting

Home owners will wait with baited breath for the Reserve Bank of Australia to hand down its cash rate decision after the release of inflation figures.

AAP

Healthy jobs market spells rate pain for borrowers

Upcoming inflation data will be make or break for a Reserve Bank rate hike decision following stronger than expected jobs figures, economists say.

AAP

A stooge in the US Fed could blow out inflation in Australia – but Trump is unlikely to get his way

Global consequences likely to be severe if the president is able to take control of US central bank

The Guardian - AU

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Donald Trump trashed global economic orthodoxy. A year on, did he leave Australia a winner or loser?

While tariffs have been ‘all show and no substance’, economists fear an AI investment bubble and tensions in the South China Sea, along with Trump’s attacks on the Federal Reserve’s independence

The Guardian - AU

Hot or not? Strong spending complicates rate picture

Upcoming data will give the Reserve Bank a better sense of whether higher interest rates are required to take the heat out of Australia's economy.

AAP

In a world going to hell, investors are flocking to gold. Australia could have had much more of it

A decision to sell two-thirds of Australia’s gold reserves in the 1990s is starting to look like a bad one as global uncertainty reigns

The Guardian - AU

How would a Trump takeover of the Fed affect Australia?

Central banks are given independence so they can make unpopular, inflation-beating decisions on interest rates

The Guardian - AU

Robust jobs market risks adding fuel to inflation fire

Australia's labour market remains tight, with limited spare capacity keeping pressure on already-high inflation and shortening the odds of interest rate hikes.

AAP

RBA official's advice to borrowers over inflation data

Mortgage holders have been warned not to expect relief anytime soon with the latest inflation figures unlikely to significantly influence the RBA's thinking.

AAP

Surprise dip in inflation a lightbulb moment – but RBA unlikely to deliver interest rate bargains

Reserve Bank will not find any reason in the new figures to cut rates next month, but the unexpected lower rate should prevent an increase

The Guardian - AU

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The Conversation

Inflation cooled more than expected in November. But rate cuts remain unlikely anytime soon

Annual inflation cooled in November.

The Guardian - AU

Australia’s inflation slows to 3.4%, easing fears of a February interest rate hike

Consumer prices rose less than markets expected in the year to November, but economists warn rate rises will still be needed in 2026

AAP

Rates hike still on the table despite softer inflation

A sharper-than-expected fall in inflation will encourage the Reserve Bank of Australia, but underlying price growth remains too hot for comfort.

AAP

RBA reveals what's needed to avert rate hikes in 2026

Two things must occur for the Reserve Bank to be satisfied that current interest rate levels can bring down inflation, board meeting minutes have revealed.

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The Conversation

Will the Australian dollar keep rising in 2026? 3 factors to watch in the new year

After several years of steadily declining, the Australian dollar staged a meaningful recovery in 2025, culminating in a two-cent rally over the past month.

AAP

Dishing the public dosh to force RBA's hand on rates

With the government unlikely to restrain public spending, the Reserve Bank will have to lift rates in 2026 to keep inflation under control, economists say.

AAP

Plea for spending cuts as banks tip interest rate hikes

Half of Australia's big four banks are tipping the Reserve Bank to hike interest rates at its next meeting as inflation is pushed outside the target zone.

AAP

Mixed employment report won't make RBA's job any easier

Unemployment and jobs growth figures for November tell differing stories about the strength of the labour market, providing little clarity for the Reserve Bank.

The Guardian - AU

No wonder Michele Bullock’s dramatic departure from the RBA’s interest rate script left markets swinging wildly

Less than two months ago the market was predicting the cash rate would be at 3.35% but that by May next year a further cut to 3.1% was almost certain

The Conversation

As the population ages, the RBA’s interest rate policy is no longer fit for purpose

An extensive government review of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) in 2023 made 51 specific recommendations to enable “an RBA fit for the future”. But the narrow terms of reference confined the review to an economic lens.

AAP

February is live: RBA warns of impending rate hike

The average mortgage-holder's repayments could soon jump an extra $90 a month, with another Reserve Bank interest rate hike on the cards as early as February.

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