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The Latest Breaking News from Neil Shearing

Spiking oil prices jolt U.S. bond yields past 5%, threatening to set off a vicious cycle of debt just as the Fed is expected to hike rates

The 10-year topped 5% for the first time since 2023 as the war in its seventh month chokes oil supply — with the U.S. debt above 100% of GDP..

Fortune

‘There’s no plan’: as instability in global bond markets rises, what are the knock-on effects?

From mortgages to inflation, concerns about the public finances of major economies have wide-reaching consequences

The Guardian - UK

Interest rate dilemma for central banks as inflation rises but growth slows

The Federal Reserve, the ECB and the Bank of England appear unclear on how to tackle inflation amid the Iran war

The Guardian - UK

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Oil and gas unlikely to return to prewar prices for months even if Hormuz reopens

Markets welcome US-Iran peace deal but prices may stay high as buyers race to refill depleted emergency crude stockpiles

The Guardian - UK

‘Degree of complacency’: are supply chains prepared for impact of ongoing Iran war?

The economic warnings are bleak, but full extent of shortages are still not felt for many European countries

The Guardian - UK

Will releasing millions of barrels of oil stockpiles really bring down fuel costs?

Despite rare act of multilateralism, there is no guarantee the IEA’s release of 400m barrels from reserves will depress prices

The Guardian - UK

War with Iran delivers another shock to the global economy

The war with Iran is doing collateral damage to the world economy

The Independent UK

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Labour infighting puts chancellor’s budget plan to reassure bond markets at risk

It was hoped manifesto-breaking tax rises might bring down borrowing costs – but party turbulence is likely to spook investors

The Guardian - UK

The Nations And Firms Threatened By Trump's Pharma Tariffs

Donald Trump has shocked the global drug industry by announcing 100-percent tariffs on all branded, imported pharmaceutical products -- unless companies are building manufacturing plants in the United States.

International Business Times

Enduring confusion is the only certainty amid Trump’s latest tariff threats

Experts suspect ‘front loading’ of activity may mask deeper impact of tariffs on the US economy

The Guardian - UK

‘In economic terms, Trump’s tariffs make no sense at all’

President’s move has no historic parallels, but the deep uncertainty for the global economy may prove as destructive as the tariffs

The Guardian - UK

What do Trump’s tariffs mean for US-China trade?

The US president hopes tariffs will help close the huge trade gap by potentially pressuring Beijing into a new deal

The Guardian - UK

Rachel Reeves heads to China to build bridges, but new golden era of relations is impossible

Seeking business partners is sound policy, but even in these darker geopolitical times the UK will still side with the US

The Guardian - UK

Dysfunction and division darken the WTO’s 30-year dream of free trade

As the organisation’s anniversary nears, borders around the world are closing again

The Guardian - UK

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Fortune

BRICS just invited 6 nations including Saudi Arabia and Iran to join—here's why it increases the prospect of dollar replacement

The idea of creating a BRICS common currency to rival the dollar has long been on the agenda of the emerging-market nations in the bloc.

The Independent UK

Food prices are squeezing Europe. Now Italians are calling for a pasta protest

High food prices are pinching households across Europe, where food inflation is outpacing other major economies like the U.S., Japan and Canada

Evening Standard

UK has already hit ‘stage three’ of a property downturn

The PM is still extolling benefits of 95% mortgages turning generation rent to generation buy

Los Angeles Times

Can China preserve both its economy and its zero-tolerance COVID-19 policy?

TAIPEI, Taiwan — China's zero-COVID strategy is starting to derail another major item on the government's agenda: economic stability.

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