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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Heather Stewart and Jasper Jolly

‘Degree of complacency’: are supply chains prepared for impact of ongoing Iran war?

A digital display at a petrol station shows fuel prices in red numbers beneath a Tamoil logo.
Motorists across Europe are feeling the pinch from higher petrol and diesel costs, but wider supply chains have so far held up. Photograph: Fabrice Coffrini/AFP/Getty Images

The biggest energy shock in modern history, jet fuel shortages “within weeks”, a global recession – since Iran throttled shipping flows through the strait of Hormuz at the end of February the economic warnings have become increasingly dire.

Yet 10 weeks on from the first US-Israeli attacks, share indices, companies and governments have been surprisingly sanguine. Every day the divergence grows between the eerie quiet on markets and alarming warnings of an imminent supply chain crunch.

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