Prediction markets were right on the election. What do they have to say about the Super Bowl? Also…psychics and professional oddsmakers. Fortune · Feb 6, 2025
Betting markets predict higher egg prices and more tariffs Bettors are forecasting that Trump’s trade war isn’t set to end with the proposed tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico The Independent UK · Feb 5, 2025
Robinhood is letting some customers wager on the outcome of Super Bowl LIX Some customers will be able to wager on the outcome of the Chiefs vs the Eagles in Robinhood's first foray into sports betting. Fortune · Feb 3, 2025
Prediction market Kalshi enters sports betting ahead of Super Bowl, after naming Donald Trump Jr. as an advisor “Today, on the heels of our explosive growth, Kalshi takes its next big step: Sports.” Fortune · Jan 25, 2025
Trump Jr. joins betting-market startup The platform predicted Trump's win and is in a legal tussle with the federal government over election betting Salon · Jan 14, 2025
Prediction-market startup Kalshi nabs Donald Trump Jr. as a strategic adviser Son of incoming president says such markets will ”upend mainstream media”. Fortune · Jan 13, 2025
The most important tech stories of 2024, and also my favorite ones Today, we’re looking at a few themes that will influence the online and offline worlds in 2025 The Guardian - US · Dec 31, 2024
Betting markets also won the election Supporters say the outcome bolsters the case for election betting in the U.S. Salon · Dec 3, 2024
TechScape: Betting markets come for everything – and the FBI comes for a betting market This week in tech news, online predictors are riding high after a slew of accurate US election wagers. Plus, Trump and Musk try to weaponize the communications regulator• The Guardian - UK · Nov 19, 2024
The FBI just raided the home of Polymarket’s founder. What does the future of electoral betting markets hold? VCs from Sequoia and Dragonfly on the future of prediction markets. Fortune · Nov 15, 2024
Online prediction betting markets look ahead after US presidential election triumph: ‘We’re just getting started’ Wagering platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket want to expand rapidly, offering bets on awards, epidemics, the economy and more, after ‘astronomical’ election growth The Guardian - US · Nov 15, 2024
US pollsters taking heat – again – for failing to predict Trump triumph Polling experts called on to explain surveys that showed Trump and Harris deadlocked in a race deemed too close to call The Guardian - US · Nov 6, 2024
Betting markets swing hard to Trump with early election tallies Apps such as Polymarket and Kalshi place Trump as likely winner as election officials continue to count ballots The Guardian - US · Nov 6, 2024
Trump’s lead over Harris in betting market erodes as platforms tighten odds Top platforms had placed Republican ahead but Democrat is catching up and even leads on one app The Guardian - US · Nov 4, 2024
Fortune · Nov 4, 2024 Trump leads Harris on Robinhood’s new prediction market with 100 million contracts traded Robinhood rolled out its new prediction market last month.
Fortune · Oct 30, 2024 Exclusive: Election betting site Polymarket is rife with fake ‘wash’ trading, researchers say Blockchain evidence points to users carrying out market manipulation to inflate trading volumes on the popular political betting platform.
Fortune · Oct 28, 2024 Exclusive: Prediction market Kalshi launches crypto deposits as Trump maintains big lead on betting sites Kalshi still lags behind Polymarket, the offshore leader among electoral betting markets.
The Independent UK · Oct 23, 2024 Noted oddsmaker JD Vance says Trump has a 60% chance to win the election Ohio senator polls shouldn’t be trusted because ‘if you’re a higher education level Democrat, you’re much more willing to answer pollster questions’
The Independent UK · Oct 23, 2024 Here’s why you shouldn’t put your faith - or money - on election betting markets Betting on the US election is a new opportunity with no historical accuracy but that hasn’t stopped people from making wagers
Fortune · Oct 23, 2024 Kalshi points to a Trump win. Its 28-year-old CEO says the betting market is more reliable than polling Meet the man trying to turn electoral betting into a $1 trillion market.
The Independent UK · Oct 19, 2024 ‘That’s a good thing for democracy’: Is gambling making politics fun? Is election betting good fun, civic engagement, or a threat to democracy itself? asks Josh Marcus
Fortune · Oct 15, 2024 Donald Trump gains the upper hand in the prediction markets—an indicator more accurate than polls, expert claims More than $1.9 billion in crypto has been wagered on this presidential election on Polymarket. Here's why that matters
International Business Times · Oct 12, 2024 Last-minute Legal Ruling Allows Betting On US Election Millions of dollars have poured into bets on who will win the US election after a last-minute court ruling opened up gambling on the vote, upping the stakes on a too-close-to-call race that has already put voters on edge.
Reason · Oct 4, 2024 Short Circuit: A Roundup of Recent Federal Court Decisions Stem cells, boondoggles, and watering flowers.
Roll Call · Oct 3, 2024 At the Races: Please bet responsibly - Roll Call This week, there’s a certain irony to our newsletter being called “At the Races.” And no, it’s not because Pete Rose, Major League Baseball’s all-time hits leader who was banned from baseball for betting on the Cincinnati Reds, died Monday at age 83. Betting on the outcome of the congressional…