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The Guardian - US
The Guardian - US
World
Callum Jones in New York

Online prediction betting markets look ahead after US presidential election triumph: ‘We’re just getting started’

digital displays advertise the betting platform Kalshi with images of Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
An ad for the betting platform Kalshi as people leave Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally in New York last month. Photograph: Julius Constantine Motal/EPA

Betting markets had a great election. With billions of dollars wagered on who would take the White House, their projections proved closer to the actual result than many opinion polls. Now the operators behind them want the US to wager on almost everything else.

Forget Trump or Harris. Is Billie Eilish going to win album of the year at the Grammys? How many federal government employees are about to lose their jobs? Will mpox be declared a pandemic this year?

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