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The Latest Breaking News from JLN

Easier for Labor to form government in Tasmania than Liberals after final election results

Although the Liberals won four more seats than Labor at the Tasmanian election, it’s easier for Labor to form a government. Federal polls from Morgan and Essential are also covered.

The Conversation

Will the Tasmanian election put an end to the island’s parliamentary chaos?

While the electorate will be hoping for a more stable result, it’s again unlikely either major party will be given a majority

The Guardian - AU

2 polls have Tasmania headed for another hung parliament, but disagree on which party is ahead

Two Tasmanian state polls imply another hung parliament at the July 19 election under Tasmania’s proportional system. In one of these polls, Labor leads the Liberals, while in the other the Liberals lead.

The Conversation

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Tasmania likely heading for another minority government after next month’s snap election

Tasmania’s election on July 19 will be a welcome circuit breaker following the recent mayhem and dysfunction which has addled state politics.

The Conversation

Confusion and chaos reign in Tasmanian parliament with no endgame in sight

A vote of no-confidence in Jeremy Rockliff’s government has pushed the state to the brink of an election that all the major players agree is a bad idea

The Guardian - AU

Labor and the Greens likely to gain Senate seats at the election

As well as the election for the full House of Representatives, there will be an election on May 3 for 40 of the 76 senators. The 72 state senators have six-year terms, with half of them up for election every three years. The four territory senators are all up for…

The Conversation

State of the states: six politics experts explain the key seats across the country

The five-week election campaign is now in full swing throughout the nation.

The Conversation

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Newspoll remains tied at 50–50, but Albanese’s net approval slumps

A national Newspoll, conducted August 26–30 from a sample of 1,263, had a 50–50 two-party tie between Labor and the Coalition, unchanged from the previous Newspoll three weeks ago. This is the first time this term there have been two successive ties in Newspoll.

The Conversation

Ousted MPs in talks for new deal with minority premier

Tasmania's minority Liberal government will hang on to its grip on power, with two newly independent MPs working on another deal with Premier Jeremy Rockliff.

AAP

Jacqui Lambie Network MPs out of party

Two Jacqui Lambie Network MPs have parted ways with the party and will serve as independents.

AAP

State finances on track to be 'worst in the country'

Tasmania, the home of Australia's only Liberal government, faces deteriorating finances based on policy decisions over a decade, a leading economist says.

AAP

Nation's only Liberal government suffers first-day loss

Tasmania's minority Liberal government has lost the position of Speaker on the first day of parliament since the state election in March.

AAP

Tas Liberals in minority talks as Labor leader resigns

Tasmania's Labor leader has resigned after the party's election loss while the Liberals hold talks with crossbenchers to cobble together a minority government.

AAP

Liberal minority rule, Lambie alliance or Labor ‘traffic light’ coalition: where to now for Tasmanian politics?

As the dust settles from an unnecessary election, premier Jeremy Rockliff has some serious work to do to form a stable government

The Guardian - AU

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The Guardian - UK

Liberals struggle to hold power in Tasmania as minor parties surge at election

Party leading poll with 36.6% of vote, but suffered 12% swing against it since last election three years ago

The Conversation

Freshwater national poll holds steady at a 50--50 tie between Labor and the Coalition as Trump set for big win in Iowa caucus

A national Freshwater poll for The Sunday Telegraph had a 50–50 tie between Labor and the Coalition, unchanged from a Freshwater poll for The Financial Review in mid-December.

The Conversation

Lidia Thorpe's defection from the Greens will make passing legislation harder for Labor

Senator Lidia Thorpe announced on Monday that she would be leaving the Greens. Thorpe had split with the Greens over the Indigenous Voice to parliament, which she opposes.

The Guardian - AU

Move to disallow $18m leadership program grant pitched by David Hurley

Greens senator David Shoebridge says grant impacts ‘independence’ of governor general’s office and Scott Morrison should have rejected requests for support

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The Conversation

Final Senate results: Labor, the Greens and David Pocock will have a majority of senators

The final buttons to electronically distribute preferences for the Senate were pressed in NSW, Victoria and Western Australia on Monday. I wrote about the distribution of preferences in Queensland, South Australia and Tasmania on Saturday, and the climate activist’s David Pocock’s ACT Senate victory on Tuesday.

The Conversation

More Senate results: Hanson wins easily, but Labor still on track for a friendly Senate

Buttons have now been pressed to electronically distribute preferences for the May 21 federal election in the Senate for South Australia, Tasmania and Queensland. I discussed the ACT and NT results that elected David Pocock to the Senate on Tuesday.

The Conversation

ACT Senate result: Pocock defeats Liberals in first time Liberals have not won one ACT Senate seat

The federal election result for the ACT Senate was decided Tuesday. Independent David Pocock defeated the Liberals’ Zed Seselja, with Labor holding the other seat. Pocock is a former rugby player who played for the Australian Wallabies and ACT Brumbies, and a climate activist.

The Conversation

How did the polls perform in the 2022 election? Better, but not great; also a Senate update

At the May 21 federal election, Labor won 77 of the 151 House of Representatives seats (up eight since 2019 when adjusted for redistributions), the Coalition won 58 seats (down 18), the Greens four (up three) and all Others 12 (up seven).

The Conversation

Labor likely to get a friendly Senate and secures House of Representatives majority

UPDATE: On Monday night, the ABC called Macnamara as a Labor hold, giving Labor 76 of the 151 House of Representatives seats, enough for a majority. In the two remaining undecided seats, Labor has taken a narrow lead in Gilmore, while the Coalition is likely to hold Deakin.

The Guardian - AU

One Nation won’t preference moderate Liberal MPs in key seats

Decision comes after Liberals preference the Jacqui Lambie Network, labelled ‘green-left’ by Pauline Hanson, over One Nation

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