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The Latest Breaking News from Jeffrey Roach

Cooler CPI, Hotter Risk Appetite: Data Slams Door on July Fed Rate Hike

June’s cooler‑than‑expected Consumer Price Index print gave the Federal Reserve breathing room to hold rates steady this month, sending U.S. stocks modestly higher as traders slashed the odds of a near‑term hike.

Benzinga

Dow Tops 53,000 as Chip Stocks Re-Take the Lead: Stock Market Today

Markets are starting to look forward to second-quarter earnings reporting season, as economic activity remains solid.

Kiplinger

'More fizzle than sparkle': June jobs report fails to launch a July 4 firework

Chief economists and CIOs sounded gloomy notes. LPL Financial's Jeffrey Roach calculated that 105.8 million Americans have left the labor market.

Fortune

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Stocks Pop on SpaceX IPO, Hormuz Peace Plan: Stock Market Today

Markets eased into the weekend with modest gains, as the SpaceX IPO made Elon Musk a trillionaire and Middle East peace seemed near.

Kiplinger

The jobs report looks good ‘for the wrong reasons,’ top economist warns: It’s hiding how many Americans are giving up

The strong March number takes rate cuts off the table, and lets the Fed focus squarely on inflation.

Fortune

The labor market's holiday present for America: the highest unemployment in 4 years. It might be 'noisy' but the jobs just aren't there

The November jobs report showed unemployment rose to a four-year-high.

Fortune

Inflation Shock Looms: Prices Set to Hit Highest Level in a Year as Trump Tariffs Spark Economic Panic

Inflation surges to a one-year high as tariffs imposed under the Trump administration drive up prices, fueling economic uncertainty and market concern.

International Business Times UK

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Fed Has Green Light To Cut Rates After Soft Inflation, Economists Say

A wide range of economists say the Federal Reserve now has the green light to cut interest rates, following a cooler-than-expected inflation report that suggests price pressures are easing — and that monetary policy can shift focus toward the softening labor market.

Benzinga

Trump Tariffs May Fuel Margin Squeeze, But Not Inflation, Economist Says

Fears that President Donald Trump's tariffs could reignite an inflation spike are fading, as a growing number of economists say U.S. companies are now more likely to absorb those costs rather than risk losing market share.

Benzinga

Trump Tariffs To Wreak Havoc For 'Inflation-Fearing Consumers,' Shows Fed's Beige Book, But Analyst Notes Recession Risks Appear 'Well Contained'

The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book report reveals that tariffs implemented by the Donald Trump administration are translating into higher costs for businesses, with the financial burden increasingly being passed on to consumers.

Benzinga

Trump's Tariffs Remain Fed's Biggest Risks To Rate Cuts, Minutes Say

President Donald Trump's trade tariffs continue to weigh on the outlook for growth and inflation, raising concerns over how long the Federal Reserve can stick with its planned cycle of interest rate cuts.

Benzinga

Dow Adds 300 Points, Ends Losing Streak: Stock Market Today

The Dow, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq head into the weekend on high notes after posting gains for the first time since Monday.

Kiplinger

Stocks Grind Up to New All-Time Highs: Stock Market Today

UnitedHealth stock led the Dow Jones Industrial Average amid increasing signs the labor market has not been well for months.

Kiplinger

Trump Tariffs Will Fuel Stagflation As Economy Will Get 'Two Bad Tastes At The Same Time'— 'Rising Unemployment And Rising Inflation'

Economist Justin Wolfers is sounding the alarm on the potential for stagflation, warning that proposed tariffs could inflict a painful combination of slowing growth and rising prices on the U.S. economy.

Benzinga

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Benzinga

Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 Futures Rise As Wall Street Awaits Powell's Jackson Hole Keynote—Azitra, Zoom Among Top Movers (UPDATED)

Editor’s Note: The future prices of benchmark tracking ETFs, and the lede were updated in the story.

Benzinga

Stagflation-Lite Concerns Grow As July CPI Shows Persistent Core Inflation But Markets Bet On September Rate Cut

The July CPI report has put the Federal Reserve in a “predicament” regarding a September rate cut, as stubbornly high core inflation conflicts with a weakening labor market, fueling fears of “stagflation-lite.”

Kiplinger

What CEOs Say About President Trump and Fed Chair Powell

Top opinion-shapers and decision-makers are expressing mixed views on the evolving conflict between the White House and the central bank.

Benzinga

Federal Reserve Rates 'Justified' Despite Being Highest Among G-10 Peers, Says LPL Economist As Trump Pressures Jerome Powell To Exit

Despite holding the highest policy rate among G-10 nations, Jeffrey Roach, the Chief Economist at LPL Financial, emphasizes that while the administration’s lobbying for lower rates is not new, the Federal Reserve‘s independence in pursuing its mandate remains paramount.

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Fortune

What if the Fed cut rates to just 1% like Trump wants? An analyst says it's 'ludicrous' and may scare businesses

"As a big business owner looking at rates at 1% or 2%, I'm definitely saying, 'what do you know that I don't?'"

Benzinga

US Stocks Likely To Open On A Mixed Note: Netflix, PepsiCo, TSM Earnings In Focus

U.S. stock futures were swinging between gains and losses on Thursday after ending higher on Wednesday. Futures of major benchmark indices were mixed.

Benzinga

Federal Reserve's Beige Book Reveals Tariff-Driven Profit Squeeze As Businesses Avoid Price Hikes — What It Means for Consumers

The latest Federal Reserve study of economic conditions reveals that businesses that did not raise prices or pass on the impact of tariffs to their customers are likely to take a hit on their profit margins.

Benzinga

As Trump Calls For 3-Percentage Point Rate Cut, 'Too Late' Jerome Powell To Resign, June Fed Minutes Show 'Uncertainty' Reigns Supreme

As the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s June meeting were released on Wednesday, the word “uncertainty” reigned supreme amid the ongoing tariff turmoil and President Donald Trump‘s call to cut rates by 3 percentage points.

Fortune

ADP says the private sector is shrinking. That's bad news for the job market—but possibly great news for Trump

The payroll firm’s report may be a bellwether for a private-sector slowdown.

Kiplinger

Stock Market Today: Stocks Are Mixed Before Liberation Day

Markets are getting into the freewheeling rhythm of a second Trump administration.

Fortune

The vibecession is back. But a change in mood about the economy is often ‘a harbinger of things to come’: a drop in consumer spending and business investment, economist says

“If you believe the latest survey data…you would think the economy is on the cusp of a recession,” said Jeffrey Roach, LPL Financial chief economist.

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