The Latest Breaking News from Jackson Hole

At the central bank conference in Jackson Hole on Friday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned that a new set of policy-driven shocks is reshaping the U.S. outlook, underscoring how “significantly higher tariffs” are remaking global trade while tighter immigration policy has produced an “abrupt slowdown in labor force growth.”

Fed funds futures now imply an 85 to 90 percent chance of a 25-basis-point reduction at the Sept. 16–17 policy meeting, up from roughly 75 percent before Powell's speech.

September S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESU25) are down -0.24%, and September Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQU25) are down -0.32% this morning, pointing to a slightly lower open on Wall Street after last Friday’s rally as some of the optimism around expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts faded.

Imagine being Jerome Powell this week. On Friday, August 22, the Federal Reserve chairman will step onto the stage at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium — the most closely watched monetary retreat in the world — with markets, politicians, and even building contractors staring him down.