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The Latest Breaking News from Electoral College

Harris gains in post-debate US national polls, but will her gains be sustained?

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.9–46.0. In my previous US politics article on September 9, Harris led Trump by 48.7–46.2.

The Conversation

At the Races: Recapping the season - Roll Call

The CQ Roll Call newsroom tracks campaigns nationwide, sharing the best stories with some extras, in the At the Races newsletter.

Roll Call

Harris’ lead dips in national US polls and it’s very close in the key states

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.7–46.2. In my previous US politics article on August 30, Harris led Trump by 48.8–45.0.

The Conversation

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US presidential polls: Harris leads Trump nationally, but key swing state races tighter

Race so close in swing states one commentator this week called it the ‘equivalent of a knife fight in a phone booth’

The Guardian - US

Kamala Harris now leads in US polls but state-level data puts race on knife-edge

Analysis of 2024 polling and previous elections involving Donald Trump suggests race is still too close to call

The Guardian - UK

Harris’ win probability falls slightly after Democratic convention and Kennedy withdrawal

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 48.8–45.0. In my previous US politics article last Sunday, Harris led Trump by 48.8–44.8.

The Conversation

The path to American democracy’s survival runs through Georgia

Trumpism’s route to the White House is paved with bricks of election theft in the battleground state

The Guardian - US

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An unseen problem with the Electoral College – it tells bad guys where to target their efforts

Over the past four years, Congress and state governments have worked hard to prevent the aftermath of the 2024 election from descending into the chaos and threats to democracy that occurred around the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

The Conversation

Trump Campaign Bracing For Unfavorable Polling News

Trump campaign prepares for potential shifts in polling data post-Democratic National Convention for Kamala Harris.

Top News

Tim Walz Returns To Nebraska For Crucial Electoral Rally

Democratic VP nominee Tim Walz returns to Nebraska for rally in pivotal 2nd District, impacting presidential race outcome.

Top News

Harris has two paths to victory – Rust belt or Sun belt, polling analysts say

Vice-president grows newly competitive in four southern Sun belt states Trump once dominated

The Guardian - US

Trump campaign targets Pennsylvania as state that holds key to White House

Republican nominee, who holds Wilkes-Barre rally on Saturday, believes he holds advantage in electoral college

The Guardian - US

Vice President Harris To Co-Preside Over Electoral College Certification

Explore the significance of Vice President Kamala Harris presiding over the 2024 Electoral College certification amidst a closely contested presidential el...

Top News

Harris’ lead over Trump continues to increase in US national and swing state polls

The United States presidential election will be held on November 5. In analyst Nate Silver’s aggregate of national polls, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 46.8–43.7 with 3.9% for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. In my previous US politics article on August 5, Harris led Trump by 45.5–44.1.

The Conversation

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Al Jazeera

Will Tim Walz’s selection as Harris’s running mate shift the US election?

Harris’s choice for vice president has energised Democrats. But experts are split over if it will make a difference.

Salon

Republican "fake elector" pleads guilty

Eleven Republicans signed false Electoral College certificates claiming that Trump won Arizona in 2020

Top News

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Qualifies For Vermont Presidential Ballot

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. secures spot on Vermont's presidential ballot, now eligible for 158 electoral college votes in 14 states.

Top News

Nate Silver's Election Model Predicts Harris As Modest Underdog

Statistician Nate Silver predicts Kamala Harris as popular vote favorite but Electoral College underdog against Trump.

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The Independent UK

Noncitizens are less likely to participate in a census with citizenship question, study says

Adding a citizenship question to the census reduces the participation of people who aren’t U.S. citizens, particularly those from Latin American countries

The Conversation

Pennsylvania continues tradition as ‘keystone state’ in presidential elections

Pennsylvania’s role as a swing state in presidential elections is a modern continuation of a characteristic noted as early as 1802. At a rally celebrating the election victory of President Thomas Jefferson, Pennsylvania was reportedly referred to as “the keystone of the federal union” – a keystone being the central…

Capital & Main

How Britain’s July 4 Elections Differ From the U.S.

A parliamentary system, more disciplined parties and no electoral college have some advantages for democracy, says Cambridge-based U.S. historian Gary Gerstle.

The Conversation

Loss of Supreme Court legitimacy can lead to political violence

Americans are gearing up to celebrate the Fourth of July, and their thoughts are most likely on how many hot dogs to buy for the cookout and whether a family member needs to go stake out a good spot to watch the parade and fireworks.

Roll Call

Supreme Court limits obstruction charge used in Jan. 6 cases - Roll Call

The Supreme Court has limited how prosecutors can use an obstruction statute in hundreds of cases tied to the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol attack.

Roll Call

‘All hands on deck’: Trump vows to help GOP in House races - Roll Call

Donald Trump returned to Capitol Hill for the first time since the Jan. 6 insurrection, and Republicans feted him in a pep rally session.

Salon

Red state Republicans hack the system

The GOP finds a way to permanently advantage their shrinking constituencies by corrupting election systems

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