Former President Donald Trump’s campaign is preparing for potential shifts in polling data following the Democratic National Convention for Vice President Kamala Harris. A memo from Trump pollsters Tony Fabrizio and Travis Tunis, circulated by the campaign, suggests that Harris may experience a slight, temporary increase in public opinion polls post-convention. This anticipated bump is a common occurrence known as a post-Convention bounce.
The memo speculates that Harris could see a temporary rise of 2 to 3 points in polls, attributing this to the typical trend observed after party conventions. Fabrizio had previously predicted a 'honeymoon' phase for Harris after she joined the Democratic ticket, a forecast that has materialized. Before Biden ended his re-election campaign, his support in Poll of Polls stood at 45%, trailing Trump at 49%. However, the dynamics shifted leading up to the convention, with Harris at 50% and Trump at 48%.
